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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7141

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7146

7141 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−517.9u

over 7141u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148055.3%53%–58%53%–58%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258368.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1283.3%55%–95%55%–95%−7.3pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+8pp

11

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7141

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396358.5%−347.1u
Double chance318367.8%−170.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Tri-City Americans vs Kamloops Blazers

Ice Hockey · WHL. Western League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88derived
Feed close
2.70+17017/101.70+1.70-0.59from 2.70 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Penticton Vees vs Kelowna Rockets

Ice Hockey · WHL. Western League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.56+15639/251.56+1.56-0.64derived
Feed close
3.75+27511/42.75+2.75-0.36from 3.75 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Everett Silvertips vs Wenatchee Wild

Ice Hockey · WHL. Western League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Abejas de Leon vs Santos San Luis

Basketball · LNBP

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
86-87

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Dorados vs Soles de Mexicali

Basketball · LNBP

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
—
Score
81-98

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Gambusinos de Fresnillo vs Correcaminos de la UAT

Basketball · LNBP

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived
Feed close
—
Score
103-90

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Freseros de Irapuato vs Panteras de Aguascalientes

Basketball · LNBP

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
—
Score
88-97

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Athletics vs Houston Astros

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-13

2026-09-26 · first seen 45m before

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
10-7

2026-09-26 · first seen 45m before

Calgary Hitmen vs Edmonton Oil Kings

Ice Hockey · WHL. Western League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67derived
Feed close
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.25 · 0.0% CLV
Score
6-1

2026-09-26 · first seen 5m before

Swift Current Broncos vs Moose Jaw Warriors

Ice Hockey · WHL. Western League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.30 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-09-26 · first seen 5m before

Lethbridge Hurricanes vs Red Deer Rebels

Ice Hockey · WHL. Western League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.05 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-4

2026-09-26 · first seen 5m before

Carlos Manucci vs Deportivo Universidad San Martín

Football · Division 2. Championship group

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV
Score
7-0

2026-09-26 · first seen 5m before

El Paso Locomotive vs Tulsa

Football · USL

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-26 · first seen 5m before

Cavalry vs Supra du Quebec

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV
Score
6-0

2026-09-26 · first seen 5m before

General Caballero vs 3 de Noviembre

Football · Division 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-09-25 · first seen 2h before

Maidstone United vs Truro City

Football · National League. South

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.75 · +7.8% CLV
Score
1:1

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-10

2026-09-25 · first seen 1h before

Mali vs Cape Verde

Football · Qualifying

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 1.98 · −5.7% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-25 · first seen 7m before

Algeria vs Zambia

Football · Qualifying

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.22 · +3.4% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-25 · first seen 7m before

Independiente Campo Grande vs Deportivo Carapegua

Football · Division 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.15 · +16.2% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-25 · first seen 7m before

Burkina Faso vs Benin

Football · Qualifying

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-25 · first seen 7m before

Morocco vs Gabon

Football · Qualifying

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.17 · +4.5% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-25 · first seen 7m before

Egypt vs Angola

Football · Qualifying

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.35 · +1.5% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-25 · first seen 7m before

Dordrecht vs Almere City

Football · Division 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.95 · −2.5% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-25 · first seen 7m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Tri-City Americans vs Kamloops BlazersIce Hockey · WHL. Western League2026-09-26first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88derived2.70+17017/101.70+1.70-0.59from 2.70 · 0.0% CLV1-2LOST
Penticton Vees vs Kelowna RocketsIce Hockey · WHL. Western League2026-09-26first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner2.56+15639/251.56+1.56-0.64derived3.75+27511/42.75+2.75-0.36from 3.75 · 0.0% CLV4-2LOST
Everett Silvertips vs Wenatchee WildIce Hockey · WHL. Western League2026-09-26first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Abejas de Leon vs Santos San LuisBasketball · LNBP2026-09-26first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—86-87LOST
Dorados vs Soles de MexicaliBasketball · LNBP2026-09-26first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived—81-98WON
Gambusinos de Fresnillo vs Correcaminos de la UATBasketball · LNBP2026-09-26first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived—103-90WON
Freseros de Irapuato vs Panteras de AguascalientesBasketball · LNBP2026-09-26first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived—88-97WON
Athletics vs Houston AstrosBaseball · MLB2026-09-26first seen 45m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived—2-13WON
San Diego Padres vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB2026-09-26first seen 45m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—10-7WON
Calgary Hitmen vs Edmonton Oil KingsIce Hockey · WHL. Western League2026-09-26first seen 5m beforeHomeMatch Winner2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67derived2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.25 · 0.0% CLV6-1WON
Swift Current Broncos vs Moose Jaw WarriorsIce Hockey · WHL. Western League2026-09-26first seen 5m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.30 · 0.0% CLV4-2WON
Lethbridge Hurricanes vs Red Deer RebelsIce Hockey · WHL. Western League2026-09-26first seen 5m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.05 · 0.0% CLV3-4WON
Carlos Manucci vs Deportivo Universidad San MartínFootball · Division 2. Championship group2026-09-26first seen 5m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV7-0WON
El Paso Locomotive vs TulsaFootball · USL2026-09-26first seen 5m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Cavalry vs Supra du QuebecFootball · Premier League2026-09-26first seen 5m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV6-0WON
General Caballero vs 3 de NoviembreFootball · Division 22026-09-25first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV1-3LOST
Maidstone United vs Truro CityFootball · National League. South2026-09-26first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.75 · +7.8% CLV1:1LOST
New York Yankees vs Baltimore OriolesBaseball · MLB2026-09-25first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived—2-10LOST
Mali vs Cape VerdeFootball · Qualifying2026-09-25first seen 7m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 1.98 · −5.7% CLV3-1WON
Algeria vs ZambiaFootball · Qualifying2026-09-25first seen 7m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.22 · +3.4% CLV3-1WON
Independiente Campo Grande vs Deportivo CarapeguaFootball · Division 22026-09-25first seen 7m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.15 · +16.2% CLV0-1LOST
Burkina Faso vs BeninFootball · Qualifying2026-09-25first seen 7m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV1-1LOST
Morocco vs GabonFootball · Qualifying2026-09-25first seen 7m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.17 · +4.5% CLV2-0WON
Egypt vs AngolaFootball · Qualifying2026-09-25first seen 7m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.35 · +1.5% CLV0-0LOST
Dordrecht vs Almere CityFootball · Division 12026-09-25first seen 7m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.95 · −2.5% CLV3-2LOST

476–500 of 3963· 2314 won / 1644 lost · −347.1u · −8.8% yield · of 7146 total

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