Forest Green Rovers vs Altrincham
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.53 · −6.1% CLV
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3919
3918 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−209.9u
over 3918u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1481 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1495 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
815
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1988 | 68.5% | −85.4u |
| Match winner | 1931 | 60.5% | −124.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3919 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · National league
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Football · National league. North
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AwayMatch Winner
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Football · National league
AwayMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
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Football · Serie A
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Football · Premier League
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Baseball · MLB
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Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Green Rovers vs AltrinchamFootball · National league | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.53 · −6.1% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Carlisle United vs Scunthorpe UnitedFootball · National league | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| FC Liepaja vs FC RigaFootball · Virsliga | first seen 24m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 0:1 | WON |
| Worthing vs Boreham WoodFootball · National league | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.60 · +14.3% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Harrogate Town vs GatesheadFootball · National league | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Dagenham and Redbridge vs Slough TownFootball · National League. South | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 1:0 | WON |
| Folkestone Invicta vs Hemel Hempstead TownFootball · National League. South | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.93 · +1.6% CLV | 2:0 | WON |
| Tonbridge Angels vs Walton & HershamFootball · National League. South | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV | 5:1 | WON |
| South Shields vs Spalding UnitedFootball · National league. North | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.40 · −9.7% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Spennymoor Town vs Hednesford TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.55 · +17.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Woking vs Southend UnitedFootball · National league | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.00 · −1.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Ammanford vs Cardiff MetropolitanFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.50 · −3.2% CLV | 0-5 | WON |
| Toluca vs JuarezFootball · Liga MX | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati RedsBaseball · MLB | first seen 26h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 5-7 | LOST |
| Fuerza Regia vs Abejas de LeonBasketball · LNBP | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 75-76 | LOST |
| Cerro Largo vs Liverpool MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 24h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 3.45+24549/202.45+2.45-0.41from 3.75 · +8.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Mirassol vs Palmeiras SPFootball · Serie A | first seen 14m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.02 · −3.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| San Martin Tucuman vs Atletico GuemesFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 14m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Vila Nova vs Ceara FortalezaFootball · Serie B | first seen 14m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.80 · +5.9% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Seattle Storm (w) vs Los Angeles Sparks (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 74-90 | LOST |
| CRB vs CriciumaFootball · Serie B | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.15 · −2.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Sport Boys vs Sporting CristalFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.30 · −4.2% CLV | 4:1 | WON |
| Los Angeles Angels vs Philadelphia PhilliesBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 2-5 | WON |
| Athletics vs Baltimore OriolesBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 5-8 | WON |
| Argentinos Juniors vs AldosiviFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
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