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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=6218

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

6222

6218 graded · 4 void

Win rate

63.3%

95% CI 62%–65%

Profit

−421.6u

over 6218u staked

Yield

−6.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 45%3743.2%29%–59%29%–59%−1.7pp
50–60%avg claim 56%120155.5%53%–58%53%–58%−0.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%229561.0%59%–63%59%–63%−5.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%232568.5%67%–70%67%–70%−6.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%35072.3%67%–77%67%–77%−8.0pp
90–100%avg claim 91%9———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

3115

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 6218

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner325058.9%−278.6u
Double chance297268.2%−143.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League109465.5%−58.8u
League 151964.7%−34.5u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page30762.5%+42.9u
League 222558.7%−33.7u
Division 117159.6%−24.9u
Division 213764.2%−8.8u
Serie B13561.5%−11.2u
Championship11862.7%−11.1u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page10164.4%−5.4u
Serie A9552.6%−20.5u
National league8754.0%−18.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Estoril vs Casa Pia

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 43m before

Bokelj vs Mladost Donja Gorica

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.25 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-20 · first seen 43m before

Soroksar vs Tiszakecske

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.00 · −4.8% CLV
Score
3-3

2026-09-20 · first seen 43m before

Drenica vs Llapi

Football · Superliga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.65 · +6.0% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-09-20 · first seen 43m before

Santa Clara vs Braga

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
3.50+2505/22.50+2.50-0.40from 3.70 · +5.7% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-20 · first seen 43m before

Egnatia Rrogozhine vs Partizani Tirana

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.57 · +4.7% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 13m before

Kalamata vs Panathinaikos

Football · Superleague 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.35 · +5.5% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 13m before

Victoria Sumy vs Nyva Ternopil

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.73 · −3.9% CLV
Score
1:3

2026-09-21 · first seen 1h before

IB Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 2.70 · −11.5% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 3h before

OFI vs Asteras Tripolis

Football · Superleague 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.20 · −4.3% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 3h before

Omonia Nicosia vs Krasava Ypsonas

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 3h before

Slavia Prague vs Viktoria Plzen

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.45 · −6.5% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 3h before

Al Baqaa vs Al Faisaly Amman

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-09-20 · first seen 3h before

Al-Jabalain vs Al-Orouba

Football · Division 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 4.00 · +131.2% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-20 · first seen 19h before

Potenza vs Cavese

Football · Serie C. Group C

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 3.90 · +114.3% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

Mura vs Celje

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.67 · +3.1% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.80 · −5.1% CLV
Score
0:1

2026-09-20 · first seen 5d 1h before

Fulham vs Manchester United

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 3.55 · +77.5% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

Raufoss vs Stromsgodset

Football · Division 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.27 · +4.1% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

Ujpest vs Zalaegerszeg

Football · National League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.75 · −1.1% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

CS Sfaxien vs Bizertin

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

Haugesund vs Strommen

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
—
Score
7-3

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
—
Score
8-4

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

Volos vs AEK Athens

Football · Superleague 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.35 · +5.5% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Estoril vs Casa PiaFootball · Premier League2026-09-20first seen 43m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV1-2LOST
Bokelj vs Mladost Donja GoricaFootball · League 12026-09-20first seen 43m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.25 · 0.0% CLV3-0WON
Soroksar vs TiszakecskeFootball · League 22026-09-20first seen 43m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.00 · −4.8% CLV3-3LOST
Drenica vs LlapiFootball · Superliga2026-09-20first seen 43m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.65 · +6.0% CLV4-0WON
Santa Clara vs BragaFootball · Premier League2026-09-20first seen 43m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived3.50+2505/22.50+2.50-0.40from 3.70 · +5.7% CLV0-0LOST
Egnatia Rrogozhine vs Partizani TiranaFootball · Superleague2026-09-20first seen 13m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.57 · +4.7% CLV2-1WON
Kalamata vs PanathinaikosFootball · Superleague 12026-09-20first seen 13m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.35 · +5.5% CLV0-1WON
Victoria Sumy vs Nyva TernopilFootball · League 12026-09-21first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.73 · −3.9% CLV1:3LOST
IB Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur ReykjavikFootball · Premier League2026-09-20first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 2.70 · −11.5% CLV1-1LOST
OFI vs Asteras TripolisFootball · Superleague 12026-09-20first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.20 · −4.3% CLV2-2LOST
Omonia Nicosia vs Krasava YpsonasFootball · Division 12026-09-20first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV4-1WON
Slavia Prague vs Viktoria PlzenFootball · Superleague2026-09-20first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.45 · −6.5% CLV2-1WON
Al Baqaa vs Al Faisaly AmmanFootball · Premier League2026-09-20first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV0-4WON
Al-Jabalain vs Al-OroubaFootball · Division 12026-09-20first seen 19h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 4.00 · +131.2% CLV0-0LOST
Potenza vs CaveseFootball · Serie C. Group C2026-09-20first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 3.90 · +114.3% CLV4-2WON
Mura vs CeljeFootball · Superleague2026-09-20first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.67 · +3.1% CLV0-0LOST
Deportes Tolima vs America de CaliFootball · Serie A2026-09-20first seen 5d 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.80 · −5.1% CLV0:1WON
Fulham vs Manchester UnitedFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-09-20first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 3.55 · +77.5% CLV1-1LOST
Raufoss vs StromsgodsetFootball · Division 12026-09-20first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.27 · +4.1% CLV0-2WON
Ujpest vs ZalaegerszegFootball · National League2026-09-20first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.75 · −1.1% CLV2-1WON
CS Sfaxien vs BizertinFootball · League 12026-09-20first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV2-0WON
Haugesund vs StrommenFootball · Division 12026-09-20first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV4-2WON
San Diego Padres vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB2026-09-20first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived—7-3WON
Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York YankeesBaseball · MLB2026-09-20first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived—8-4LOST
Volos vs AEK AthensFootball · Superleague 12026-09-20first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.35 · +5.5% CLV1-2WON

26–50 of 3250· 1912 won / 1334 lost · −278.6u · −8.6% yield · of 6222 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.