Chelyabinsk vs Yenisey
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
- Feed close
- 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.70 · +3.8% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · U19. Youth league
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Football · League 4
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Football · U19. Youth league
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Baseball · KBO
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Ice Hockey · VHL
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Baseball · NPB
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AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Liga MX
HomeMatch Winner
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Basketball · LNBP
HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · National league. North
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelyabinsk vs YeniseyFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.70 · +3.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Chunichi DragonsBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 5-3 | LOST |
| Opava U19 vs Slovacko U19Football · U19. Youth league | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.75 · +1.2% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Usti nad Labem 2 vs Ujezd Prague 4Football · League 4 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Steti vs SlanyFootball · League 4 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | LOST |
| Krimice vs Jiskra Domazlice 2Football · League 4 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.11 · −0.9% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Aritma Prague vs Admira PragueFootball · League 3 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.00 · −3.4% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Banik Sokolov vs OstrovFootball · League 4 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.37 · +1.5% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| FA Povltavska vs Motorlet PragueFootball · League 3 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.65 · +12.2% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Horni Redice vs Teplice 2Football · League 3 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.75 · +9.4% CLV | 4-1 | LOST |
| Slavia Hradec Kralove vs Chlumec nad CidlinouFootball · League 4 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.50 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| MFK Hrudim vs Pardubice 2Football · League 3 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.95 · +34.5% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| TSG Hawks vs Uni-LionsBaseball · CPBL | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| KT Wiz Suwon vs Kiwoom HeroesBaseball · KBO | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 1-10 | LOST |
| NC Dinos vs Hanwha EaglesBaseball · KBO | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Hradec Kralove U19 vs Dukla Prague U19Football · U19. Youth league | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| KIA Tigers vs LG TwinsBaseball · KBO | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 5-1 | WON |
| Yuzhny Ural Orsk vs CSK VVS SamaraIce Hockey · VHL | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.85 · +8.8% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Orix Buffaloes vs Hokkaido Nippon-Nam FightersBaseball · NPB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Yokohama BayStars vs Hanshin TigersBaseball · NPB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 3-8 | WON |
| Tijuana vs AtlasFootball · Liga MX | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.03 · −5.6% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Fuerza Regia vs El Calor de CancunBasketball · LNBP | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived | — | 95-89 | WON |
| San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles DodgersBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 3-4 | WON |
| Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles AngelsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 8-4 | WON |
| Chorley vs Spalding UnitedFootball · National league. North | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.25 · 0.0% CLV | 3:1 | LOST |
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