Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 5-3
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6226
6222 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6222u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W3
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2296 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2327 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 351 | 72.4%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3119
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 131 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3252 | 58.9% | −278.0u |
| Double chance | 2974 | 68.2% | −143.6u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6226 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Liga MX
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 52m before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 10m before
Football · Women. Major League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 10m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 7m before
Basketball · Primera
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 54m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 39m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 39m before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 39m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 39m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 39m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 39m before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 39m before
Football · Bundesliga 3
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Regional League. West
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 39m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 39m before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 39m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York YankeesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 5-3 | LOST |
| San Diego Padres vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 7-6 | WON |
| Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota TwinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 6-5 | WON |
| Puebla vs AtlanteFootball · Liga MX | first seen 52m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.20 · +2.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Bologna vs TorinoFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 10m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.95 · −1.0% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Uppsala (w) vs Brommapojkarna (w)Football · Women. Major League | first seen 10m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.16 · +4.5% CLV | 0:1 | WON |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington NationalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 7m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 5-8 | WON |
| Olimpia Kings vs Deportivo San JoseBasketball · Primera | first seen 7m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 65-67 | LOST |
| Chicago White Sox vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 8-11 | WON |
| New York Mets vs Philadelphia PhilliesBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 6-3 | LOST |
| Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes UnidosFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.53 · −7.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Murata vs SS CosmosFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.25 · +4.2% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Bohemians Dublin vs Drogheda UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 54m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.48 · +8.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Airbus UK vs Flint Town UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 39m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.75 · −7.9% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Briton Ferry vs TrefelinFootball · Premier League | first seen 39m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Monza vs SassuoloFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 39m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.40 · −4.0% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Gent vs Standard LiegeFootball · Premier League | first seen 39m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.80 · −1.6% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Connahs Quay vs Cardiff MetropolitanFootball · Premier League | first seen 39m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.63 · +12.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Ammanford vs PenybontFootball · Premier League | first seen 39m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.17 · +1.7% CLV | 1-5 | WON |
| Wexford vs Cobh RamblersFootball · Division 1 | first seen 39m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50from 3.05 · +1.7% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| Viktoria Koln vs Ingolstadt 04Football · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.85 · +5.7% CLV | 3:0 | WON |
| Bocholt vs WiedenbruckFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV | 2:1 | WON |
| Haverfordwest vs Holywell TownFootball · Premier League | first seen 39m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Caernarfon vs Cambrian UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 39m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV | 9-1 | WON |
| Bray Wanderers vs Treaty UnitedFootball · Division 1 | first seen 39m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 6.10 · +335.7% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.