Urawa Red Diamonds vs Tokyo Verdy
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
- Feed close
- 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.78 · −6.3% CLV
- Score
- 3-1
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6224
6220 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−420.9u
over 6220u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W6
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2326 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 351 | 72.4%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3117
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 131 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3252 | 58.9% | −278.0u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6224 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · CPBL
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · CPBL
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · NPB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · U19. Youth league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 4
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · U19. Youth league
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 3
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · CPBL
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · KBO
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · KBO
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · NPB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · NPB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · NPB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Liga MX
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier Division
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Basketball · WNBA
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urawa Red Diamonds vs Tokyo VerdyFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.78 · −6.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.85 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Rakuten Monkeys vs TSG HawksBaseball · CPBL | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 5-11 | WON |
| Chinatrust Brothers vs Wei Chuan DragonsBaseball · CPBL | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.68 · +0.6% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Chiba Lotte Marines vs Saitama Seibu LionsBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 2-4 | WON |
| Dynamo Ceske Budejovice U19 vs Pardubice U19Football · U19. Youth league | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.78 · 0.0% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima AntlersFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.60 · +2.0% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Sparta Brno vs Sokol TasoviceFootball · League 4 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.60 · 0.0% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Persebaya Surabaya vs Garuda YaksaFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Zlin U19 vs Zbrojovka Brno U19Football · U19. Youth league | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.98 · 0.0% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Motorlet Prague vs BenesovFootball · League 3 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.62 · −1.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Uni-Lions vs Fubon GuardiansBaseball · CPBL | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| CSA Steaua Bucuresti vs Gloria BistritaFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.70+17017/101.70+1.70-0.59from 2.75 · +1.9% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Bacau vs Cetatea SuceavaFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| CSM Slatina vs Viitorul SelimbarFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Lotte Giants vs Samsung LionsBaseball · KBO | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 5-3 | LOST |
| KT Wiz Suwon vs Doosan BearsBaseball · KBO | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 15-3 | LOST |
| Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Fukuoka S. HawksBaseball · NPB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 5-2 | LOST |
| Hokkaido Nippon-Nam Fighters vs Orix BuffaloesBaseball · NPB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 4-7 | LOST |
| Yomiuri Giants vs Chunichi DragonsBaseball · NPB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 14-1 | LOST |
| Juarez vs Tigres MonterreyFootball · Liga MX | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.87 · +1.1% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 10-4 | WON |
| Municipal Perez Zeledon vs Sporting San JoseFootball · Premier Division | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Golden State Valkyries (w) vs Portland (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12derived | — | 82-66 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.