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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3912

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3913

3912 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−208.9u

over 3912u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72455.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148062.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149470.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

809

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3912

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198668.5%−84.8u
Match winner192760.5%−124.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Piast Gliwice vs GKS Katowice

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.65 · −5.4% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 31m before

Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.10 · +2.4% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-09-04 · first seen 16m before

Nafta Lendava vs NK Radomlje

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.15 · +4.9% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 16m before

Etoile-Carouge vs Wil 1900

Football · Challenge League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.68 · +0.6% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 16m before

Czech Rep (w) vs Italy (w)

Basketball · Women. Germany. Group stage

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11derived
Feed close
—
Score
54-63

2026-09-04 · first seen 16m before

Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax

Football · Challenge League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.95 · +2.6% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 16m before

Independiente Juniors vs Cuenca Ecuador

Football · Division 2. Championship Group

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 16m before

Petrovac vs Sutjeska Niksic

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.55 · −7.3% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Dender vs Seraing

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
Feed close
—
Score
7-6

2026-09-04 · first seen 11m before

Vitesse vs Oss

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.55 · +2.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Varazdin vs Istra 1961

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Riyadh

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 8.50 · +608.3% CLV
Score
0:0

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Montpellier Handball vs Chartres Metropole Handball

Handball · Star League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19derived
Feed close
1.08-12502/250.08-12.50+0.08from 1.06 · −1.9% CLV
Score
41-22

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Almere City vs Jong Ajax

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.40 · −6.7% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Al-Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Hilal SFC

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.28 · −1.5% CLV
Score
2:0

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Chambery Savoie Mt-Blanc Handball vs PSG Handball

Handball · Star League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived
Feed close
1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.22 · −0.8% CLV
Score
29-32

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Heracles Almelo vs De Graafschap

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.38 · −2.8% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Emmen vs FC Volendam

Football · Division 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.55 · +8.5% CLV
Score
5-3

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Geneve Servette vs Eisbaren Berlin

Ice Hockey · Champions League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV
Score
6-2

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Davos vs Storhamar

Ice Hockey · Champions League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Richards Bay vs AmaZulu

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 3.10 · +34.8% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Adler Mannheim vs Vaxjo Lakers

Ice Hockey · Champions League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.56+15639/251.56+1.56-0.64derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.40 · +4.3% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Shkendija vs Tikvesh 1930

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.32 · +3.9% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-09-04 · first seen 30m before

Al Wasl Dubai vs Khor Fakkan

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.30 · +5.7% CLV
Score
5-2

2026-09-04 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Piast Gliwice vs GKS KatowiceFootball · Superleague2026-09-04first seen 31m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.65 · −5.4% CLV3-0LOST
Arda Kardzhali vs Botev PlovdivFootball · League 12026-09-04first seen 16m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.10 · +2.4% CLV2-3LOST
Nafta Lendava vs NK RadomljeFootball · Superleague2026-09-04first seen 16m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.15 · +4.9% CLV3-1WON
Etoile-Carouge vs Wil 1900Football · Challenge League2026-09-04first seen 16m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.68 · +0.6% CLV1-1LOST
Czech Rep (w) vs Italy (w)Basketball · Women. Germany. Group stage2026-09-04first seen 16m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11derived—54-63WON
Winterthur vs Neuchatel XamaxFootball · Challenge League2026-09-04first seen 16m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.95 · +2.6% CLV4-0WON
Independiente Juniors vs Cuenca EcuadorFootball · Division 2. Championship Group2026-09-04first seen 16m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV1-0WON
Petrovac vs Sutjeska NiksicFootball · League 12026-09-04first seen 1m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.55 · −7.3% CLV0-0LOST
Dender vs SeraingFootball · Division 22026-09-04first seen 1m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV2-0WON
Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB2026-09-04first seen 11m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived—7-6WON
Vitesse vs OssFootball · Division 12026-09-04first seen 1m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.55 · +2.0% CLV2-1WON
Varazdin vs Istra 1961Football · Premier League2026-09-04first seen 1m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV0-0LOST
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-RiyadhFootball · Premier League2026-09-04first seen 1m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 8.50 · +608.3% CLV0:0LOST
Montpellier Handball vs Chartres Metropole HandballHandball · Star League2026-09-04first seen 1m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19derived1.08-12502/250.08-12.50+0.08from 1.06 · −1.9% CLV41-22WON
Almere City vs Jong AjaxFootball · Division 12026-09-04first seen 1m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.40 · −6.7% CLV0-1LOST
Al-Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Hilal SFCFootball · Premier League2026-09-04first seen 1m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.28 · −1.5% CLV2:0LOST
Chambery Savoie Mt-Blanc Handball vs PSG HandballHandball · Star League2026-09-04first seen 1m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.22 · −0.8% CLV29-32WON
Heracles Almelo vs De GraafschapFootball · Division 12026-09-04first seen 1m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.38 · −2.8% CLV5-0WON
Emmen vs FC VolendamFootball · Division 12026-09-04first seen 1m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.55 · +8.5% CLV5-3LOST
Geneve Servette vs Eisbaren BerlinIce Hockey · Champions League2026-09-04first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV6-2WON
Davos vs StorhamarIce Hockey · Champions League2026-09-04first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV3-2WON
Richards Bay vs AmaZuluFootball · Premier League2026-09-04first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 3.10 · +34.8% CLV1-2WON
Adler Mannheim vs Vaxjo LakersIce Hockey · Champions League2026-09-04first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner2.56+15639/251.56+1.56-0.64derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.40 · +4.3% CLV3-1LOST
Shkendija vs Tikvesh 1930Football · Division 12026-09-04first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.32 · +3.9% CLV1-3LOST
Al Wasl Dubai vs Khor FakkanFootball · Premier League2026-09-04first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.30 · +5.7% CLV5-2WON

251–275 of 1927· 1165 won / 761 lost · −124.1u · −6.4% yield · of 3913 total

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