Kickers Emden vs Hamburger 2
Football · Regional League. North
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-2
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4032
4031 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−216.6u
over 4031u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 764 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1514 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1532 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
928
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2030 | 68.6% | −84.9u |
| Match winner | 2002 | 60.3% | −131.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 343 | 61.5% | −39.8u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4032 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Regional League. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 2. South
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Regional League. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · National League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 49m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 34m before
Football · K League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 10h before
Football · K League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 10h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 9h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 9h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 9h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Primera Division. Group stage
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kickers Emden vs Hamburger 2Football · Regional League. North | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Kristianstad FC vs AngelholmsFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Slavia Mozyr vs Dnepr MogilevFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Liefering vs Hertha WelsFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| VfB Oldenburg vs Drochtersen-AsselFootball · Regional League. North | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| SJK Seinajoki vs GnistanFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| FC Rustavi vs Torpedo KutaisiFootball · National League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Vysocina Jihlava vs PribramFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| KuPS 2 Kuopio vs Inter 2 TurkuFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| JaPS vs MPFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Xorazm Urganch vs Mashal MubarekFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Ararat Armenia vs UrartuFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Ararat Yerevan vs SardarapatFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Unirea Slobozia vs Gloria BistritaFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Haka vs JIPPOFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Naftan Novopolotsk vs Arsenal DzerzhinskFootball · Premier League | first seen 49m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Lokomotiv Tashkent vs Dinamo SamarqandFootball · Superleague | first seen 34m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Gimpo Citizen vs FC CheongjuFootball · K League 2 | first seen 10h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Yongin City vs Busan I'ParkFootball · K League 2 | first seen 10h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Gamba Osaka vs Urawa Red DiamondsFootball · Premier League | first seen 9h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Yokohama F-Marinos vs Kashima AntlersFootball · Premier League | first seen 9h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-4 | WON |
| UCSA vs Nyva TernopilFootball · League 1 | first seen 9h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Alianza Atletico vs CiencianoFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Rayo Zuliano vs Academia AnzoateguiFootball · Primera Division. Group stage | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria ViennaFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.