Trefelin vs Llandudno Town
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-4
· first seen 31m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4030
4029 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−215.9u
over 4029u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 764 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1513 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1531 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
926
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2029 | 68.6% | −85.2u |
| Match winner | 2001 | 60.3% | −130.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 342 | 61.4% | −40.2u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4030 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 31m before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 31m before
Football · Bundesliga 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 16m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 16m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 16m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 16m before
Football · Challenge League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Challenge League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Regional League. West
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Challenge League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Bundesliga
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Regional League. East
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Bundesliga 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Women. Major League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Regional League. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trefelin vs Llandudno TownFootball · Premier League | first seen 31m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-4 | LOST |
| Cobh Ramblers vs Treaty UnitedFootball · Division 1 | first seen 31m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Bochum vs Hertha BerlinFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 16m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Partick Thistle vs LivingstonFootball · Championship | first seen 16m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch ChorzowFootball · League 1 | first seen 16m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Wisla Krakow vs Wisla PlockFootball · Superleague | first seen 16m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Etoile-Carouge vs Neuchatel XamaxFootball · Challenge League | first seen 1m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs BSK Banja LukaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Cambuur vs ExcelsiorFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-4 | LOST |
| VVV-Venlo vs Heracles AlmeloFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-4 | WON |
| Sport Huancayo vs Los ChancasFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Vitesse vs WaalwijkFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Emmen vs Roda KerkradeFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Kriens vs Yverdon SportFootball · Challenge League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Gutersloh vs Bochum 2Football · Regional League. West | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Winterthur vs Wil 1900Football · Challenge League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 5-0 | WON |
| Rheindorf Altach vs WSG TirolFootball · Bundesliga | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| 07 Vestur vs EB/StreymurFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Favoritner vs SC Wiener ViktoriaFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna DüsseldorfFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Vaxjo (w) vs Rosengard (w)Football · Women. Major League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Hranice vs UnicovFootball · League 3 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Sonderjyske vs ViborgFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Zbrojovka Brno vs Slovan LiberecFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Kickers Emden vs Hamburger 2Football · Regional League. North | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.