Goiatuba vs ASA Arapiraca
Football · Serie D. Quarter-finals. First leg
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4027
4026 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−214.2u
over 4026u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 763 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1513 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1529 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
923
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2028 | 68.6% | −85.5u |
| Match winner | 1999 | 60.4% | −128.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4027 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Serie D. Quarter-finals. First leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Reserve League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Liga Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · MLS
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 59m before
Football · Primera B Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4d 9h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 44m before
Football · Serie D. Quarter-finals. First leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 44m before
Football · Serie C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 44m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Serie D. Quarter-finals. First leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Segunda Division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Primera division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Ligue 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Ligue 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Women. Series A1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiatuba vs ASA ArapiracaFootball · Serie D. Quarter-finals. First leg | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Isidro Metapan (r) vs Aguila San Miguel (r)Football · Reserve League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Platense Puerto Cortes vs MarathonFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| New England Revolution vs Houston DynamoFootball · MLS | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Deportivo LlacuabambaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 59m before | X2Double Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Colon de Santa Fe vs San TelmoFootball · Primera B Nacional | first seen 4d 9h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Tigre vs River PlateFootball · Premier League | first seen 44m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Sao Jose Porto Alegre vs SE GamaFootball · Serie D. Quarter-finals. First leg | first seen 44m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Figueirense vs Ferroviaria SPFootball · Serie C | first seen 44m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Vila Nova vs Sport RecifeFootball · Serie B | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Nacional Manaus vs ABC NatalFootball · Serie D. Quarter-finals. First leg | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Atletico de Rafaela vs Chacarita JuniorsFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Gremio vs Sao PauloFootball · Serie A | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Huachipato vs Everton VMFootball · Serie A | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| Colon Montevideo vs CerritoFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Siroki Brijeg vs Sloga DobojFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Nacional PotosiFootball · Primera division | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Boulogne vs NancyFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Pau vs AnnecyFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Deportivo Armenio vs Villa DalmineFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Antalyaspor vs Keciorengucu AnkaraFootball · League 1 | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Atletico Mineiro (w) vs Bahia (w)Football · Women. Series A1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Sport Huancayo (r) vs Santos IcaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Borac Cacak vs VozdovacFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Liverpool Montevideo vs Albion MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.