Jezero vs Mladost Donja Gorica
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4024
4023 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−212.8u
over 4023u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W7
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 762 | 55.5%52%–59% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1511 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1529 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
920
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2028 | 68.6% | −85.5u |
| Match winner | 1996 | 60.4% | −127.3u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4024 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Clubs
X2Double Chance
· first seen 15h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Bundesliga
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division Nationale
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · National League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jezero vs Mladost Donja GoricaFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo MoqueguaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo WanderersFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| San Lorenzo Almagro vs HuracanFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Bokelj vs Sutjeska NiksicFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Parma vs SampdoriaFootball · Clubs | first seen 15h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Laferrere vs Arsenal SarandiFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Dock Sud vs San Martin BurzacoFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Rubin vs OrenburgFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Austria Vienna vs LASKFootball · Bundesliga | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Atlanta vs TemperleyFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Spartak Moscow vs KrasnodarFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Slaven Belupo vs VarazdinFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| Deportes Copiapo vs San Luis QuillotaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Ayacucho vs Estudiantil CNIFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Swift Hesperange vs WiltzFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-7 | WON |
| Spaeri vs Dinamo TbilisiFootball · National League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Miramar Misiones vs TacuaremboFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Shelbourne vs Saint Patrick's AthleticFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Saryer vs MuglasporFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Banga Gargzdai vs Suduva MarijampoleFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Gomel vs MinskFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Aqvital Csakvar vs Kozarmisleny SEFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Soroksar vs DiosgyoriFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 4-0 | LOST |
| Sandnes Ulf vs HoddFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-4 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.