Reading vs Luton Town
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-4
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4018
4017 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−214.6u
over 4017u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 760 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1508 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1528 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
914
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.5u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2027 | 68.6% | −85.9u |
| Match winner | 1991 | 60.4% | −128.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 206 | 59.2% | +18.1u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4018 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Bundesliga 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Women. Major League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · 1st Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Bundesliga 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · K League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · K League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · South Australia. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 7h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · U19. Youth league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · U19. Youth league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 46m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 46m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 46m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading vs Luton TownFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-4 | WON |
| Oldham vs Port ValeFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Osnabruck vs MagdeburgFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| AIK (w) vs Vittsjo GIK (w)Football · Women. Major League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Hillerod vs Aarhus FremadFootball · 1st Division | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Greuther Furth vs NurnbergFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-4 | WON |
| Rodina Moscow vs Akron TolyattiFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Wuxi Wugou vs Guangdong GZ-PowerFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Gimhae City vs GyeongnamFootball · K League 2 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Suwon Samsung Bluewings vs Suwon CityFootball · K League 2 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| FC Seoul vs Daejeon CitizenFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo OsakaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Metalist Kharkiv vs OleksandriaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Kryvbas vs Levy Bereg KievFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Kawasaki Frontale vs Kyoto SangaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen NagasakiFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| North Eastern MetroStars vs Croydon KingsFootball · South Australia. National Premier League | first seen 7h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F-MarinosFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Slavia Prague U19 vs Pardubice U19Football · U19. Youth league | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Mito HollyHock vs Gamba OsakaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Teplice U19 vs Banik Ostrava U19Football · U19. Youth league | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Metaloglobus Bucharest vs Viitorul SelimbarFootball · League 2 | first seen 46m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Gloria Bistrita vs Concordia ChiajnaFootball · League 2 | first seen 46m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Bihor Oradea vs Targu MuresFootball · League 2 | first seen 46m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.