Burton Albion vs Stevenage
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 55m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4002
4001 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−215.2u
over 4001u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 750 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1506 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1524 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
898
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2023 | 68.6% | −85.9u |
| Match winner | 1979 | 60.4% | −129.3u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 198 | 59.6% | +18.7u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4002 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National League. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National League. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion vs StevenageFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Barnet vs Salford CityFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| KFUM Oslo vs LillestromFootball · Superleague | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Solihull Moors vs Boston UnitedFootball · National league | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Southend United vs Scunthorpe UnitedFootball · National league | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Bradford City vs Peterborough UnitedFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Hereford vs MarineFootball · National league. North | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Chelmsford City vs Truro CityFootball · National League. South | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Plymouth Argyle vs Stockport CountyFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| OLS Oulu vs RoPSFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Spennymoor Town vs Merthyr TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Worthing vs Forest Green RoversFootball · National league | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Charlton Athletic vs Derby CountyFootball · Championship | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Cambridge United vs Wigan AthleticFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Marupes vs Super Nova 2Football · League 1 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Chesterfield vs Fleetwood TownFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Harborough Town vs MorecambeFootball · National league. North | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Norwich City vs West BromwichFootball · Championship | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| York City vs Bristol RoversFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Tranmere Rovers vs Shrewsbury TownFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Stoke City vs SwanseaFootball · Championship | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Alloa Athletic vs MontroseFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Grimsby Town vs Exeter CityFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Maardu Linnameeskond vs TallinnFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay UnitedFootball · National League. South | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
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