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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=4000

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

4001

4000 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−216.1u

over 4000u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L2

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%74955.3%52%–59%52%–59%−0.6pp
60–70%avg claim 66%150662.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.9pp
70–80%avg claim 75%152470.3%68%–73%68%–73%−4.6pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20771.5%65%–77%65%–77%−8.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

897

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 4000

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance202368.6%−85.9u
Match winner197860.3%−130.2u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73967.3%−21.1u
Superleague34161.3%−40.4u
League 132567.1%−11.1u
MLB↗MLB league page19759.4%+17.7u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210465.4%−5.2u
Serie B10162.4%−7.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7963.3%−5.8u
Championship7665.8%−4.4u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4001 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Kortrijk vs Royal Antwerp

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Al-Taawoun Buraydah vs Al- Khaleej Saihat

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Caernarfon vs Colwyn Bay

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Istanbulspor vs Bodrumspor

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas San Carlos

Football · Segunda Division

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Tallinna Kalev vs FC Elva

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Juventud Las Piedras vs Montevideo City Torque

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Skalica vs Kosice

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-4

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Rostov vs Rubin

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Nyiregyhaza vs Kisvarda

Football · National League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Mezokovesd Zsory vs BVSC Zuglo

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Sturm 2 Graz vs Admira Wacker Modling

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Kecskemeti vs Fehervar

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Szeged 2011 vs Gyirmot

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Diosgyori vs Ajka

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

FC Andorra vs Ceuta

Football · Segunda Division

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Slovacko vs Sigma Olomouc

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Sandvikens vs Norrkoping

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Sporting 2 Lisbon vs Chaves

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Verl vs MSV Duisburg

Football · Bundesliga 3

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-4

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Drenica vs KF Dukagjini

Football · Superliga

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Al Dhafra vs Al Sharjah

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Braintree Town vs Chesham United

Football · National League. South

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Kristianstad FC vs Tvaakers

Football · Division 2. South

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Spalding United vs Oxford City

Football · National league. North

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Kortrijk vs Royal AntwerpFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-3WON
Al-Taawoun Buraydah vs Al- Khaleej SaihatFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV0-0WON
Caernarfon vs Colwyn BayFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—3-0WON
Istanbulspor vs BodrumsporFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-2WON
Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas San CarlosFootball · Segunda Division2026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-2LOST
Tallinna Kalev vs FC ElvaFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-0LOST
Juventud Las Piedras vs Montevideo City TorqueFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-1LOST
Skalica vs KosiceFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—2-4LOST
Rostov vs RubinFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-1WON
Nyiregyhaza vs KisvardaFootball · National League2026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2-1WON
Mezokovesd Zsory vs BVSC ZugloFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-0WON
Sturm 2 Graz vs Admira Wacker ModlingFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-2WON
Kecskemeti vs FehervarFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—2-1WON
Szeged 2011 vs GyirmotFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—0-1WON
Diosgyori vs AjkaFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-1WON
FC Andorra vs CeutaFootball · Segunda Division2026-08-15first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—5-1WON
Slovacko vs Sigma OlomoucFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV1-2WON
Sandvikens vs NorrkopingFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-4WON
Sporting 2 Lisbon vs ChavesFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1-0WON
Verl vs MSV DuisburgFootball · Bundesliga 32026-08-15first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—2-4WON
Drenica vs KF DukagjiniFootball · Superliga2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—0-0WON
Al Dhafra vs Al SharjahFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-3WON
Braintree Town vs Chesham UnitedFootball · National League. South2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—3-2WON
Kristianstad FC vs TvaakersFootball · Division 2. South2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-2LOST
Spalding United vs Oxford CityFootball · National league. North2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-1LOST

1451–1475 of 2023· 1387 won / 636 lost · −85.9u · −4.2% yield · of 4001 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.