Middelfart vs Nykobing
Football · 2 division
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-3
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3952
3951 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−210.9u
over 3951u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 739 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1490 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1506 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 202 | 70.8%64%–77% | −9.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
848
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2001 | 68.5% | −86.1u |
| Match winner | 1951 | 60.5% | −124.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 192 | 59.9% | +19.1u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3952 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · 2 division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · National league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · National league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · K League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · New South Wales. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 19m before
Football · Western Australia. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Western Australia. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Victoria.National Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Western Australia. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · New South Wales. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Victoria.National Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 10m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 25m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie C. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middelfart vs NykobingFootball · 2 division | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Vsetin vs UnicovFootball · League 3 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Forest Green Rovers vs Boreham WoodFootball · National league | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Millwall vs Norwich CityFootball · Championship | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Doncaster Rovers vs BarnsleyFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Lincoln City vs PortsmouthFootball · Championship | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Sutton United vs Hartlepool UnitedFootball · National league | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Jinmen TigerFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Ningbo Professional vs Yanbian LongdingFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Yokohama F-Marinos vs Vissel KobeFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Ansan Greeners vs SeongnamFootball · K League 2 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba OsakaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo VerdyFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| NWS Spirit vs Southern Districts RaidersFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 19m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Olympic Kingsway vs Fremantle CityFootball · Western Australia. National Premier League | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Armadale vs Perth RedStarFootball · Western Australia. National Premier League | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-4 | LOST |
| Dandenong City vs Preston LionsFootball · Victoria.National Premier League | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Stirling Macedonia vs Western KnightsFootball · Western Australia. National Premier League | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Sutherland Sharks vs St. George CityFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Altona Magic vs AvondaleFootball · Victoria.National Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta LendavaFootball · Superleague | first seen 10m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Admira Wacker Modling vs First ViennaFootball · League 1 | first seen 25m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Vysocina Jihlava vs MAS TaborskoFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Wacker Innsbruck vs St PoltenFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Alcione vs RenateFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.