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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3916

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3917

3916 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−209.2u

over 3916u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W2

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72855.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148062.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149470.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

813

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3916

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198668.5%−84.8u
Match winner193160.5%−124.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3917 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Racing Cordoba vs Colon Santa Fe

Football · Primera Nacional

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-30 · first seen 2h before

IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio

Football · Serie C. Group A

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Teuta Durres vs FC Tirana

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Backa Topola vs Smederevo 1924

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Cordoba vs Granada

Football · Segunda Division

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Famalicao vs Gil Vicente

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Celta vs Athletic Bilbao

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Deportes Temuco vs Puerto Montt

Football · Serie B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Benevento vs Sudtirol

Football · Serie B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Corinthians SP vs Santos SP

Football · Serie A

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Avai vs Atletico Goianiense

Football · Serie B

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-30 · first seen 32m before

Manisa vs Bodrumspor

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-30 · first seen 32m before

Monaco vs Marseille

Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
2:0

2026-08-30 · first seen 47m before

Atlanta vs San Martin San Juan

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 32m before

All Boys vs Chaco For Ever

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-30 · first seen 32m before

Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn

Football · Primera Nacional

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-30 · first seen 2m before

Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio

Football · Division 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.80 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 2m before

Atletico Kimberley vs CA Alvarado

Football · Torneo Federal A. Winners stage

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-30 · first seen 2m before

Banfield vs River Plate

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-30 · first seen 2m before

Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-30 · first seen 17m before

Sparta Prague vs Slavia Prague

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-30 · first seen 2m before

Deportivo Flandria vs San Martin Burzaco

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.25 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-30 · first seen 2m before

Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0:2

2026-08-30 · first seen 2m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Racing Cordoba vs Colon Santa FeFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-30first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-0LOST
IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost LucaniFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—2-0WON
Lumezzane vs Giana ErminioFootball · Serie C. Group A2026-08-30first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-0WON
Teuta Durres vs FC TiranaFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—3-1WON
Backa Topola vs Smederevo 1924Football · League 12026-08-30first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—1-1WON
Cordoba vs GranadaFootball · Segunda Division2026-08-30first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—1-3LOST
Famalicao vs Gil VicenteFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-0WON
Celta vs Athletic BilbaoFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-08-30first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-2WON
Deportes Temuco vs Puerto MonttFootball · Serie B2026-08-30first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—3-1WON
Benevento vs SudtirolFootball · Serie B2026-08-30first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-1WON
Corinthians SP vs Santos SPFootball · Serie A2026-08-30first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-1LOST
Avai vs Atletico GoianienseFootball · Serie B2026-08-30first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—0-1LOST
Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril OesteFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-30first seen 32m beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—2-2WON
Manisa vs BodrumsporFootball · League 12026-08-30first seen 32m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—0-0WON
Monaco vs MarseilleFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/272026-08-30first seen 47m beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—2:0LOST
Atlanta vs San Martin San JuanFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-30first seen 32m beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—0-1WON
All Boys vs Chaco For EverFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-30first seen 32m beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-0WON
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo MadrynFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-30first seen 2m beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-0LOST
Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union ComercioFootball · Division 22026-08-30first seen 2m beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.80 · 0.0% CLV1-1WON
Atletico Kimberley vs CA AlvaradoFootball · Torneo Federal A. Winners stage2026-08-30first seen 2m beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-2LOST
Banfield vs River PlateFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 2m beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—2-3WON
Widzew Lodz vs Lech PoznanFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 17m beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-3WON
Sparta Prague vs Slavia PragueFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 2m before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-3LOST
Deportivo Flandria vs San Martin BurzacoFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-30first seen 2m before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.25 · 0.0% CLV2-0WON
Atletico Mitre vs Central NorteFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-30first seen 2m beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0:2WON

401–425 of 1986· 1361 won / 625 lost · −84.8u · −4.3% yield · of 3917 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.