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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3912

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3913

3912 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−208.9u

over 3912u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72455.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148062.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149470.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

809

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3912

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198668.5%−84.8u
Match winner192760.5%−124.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Copenhagen vs Nordsjaelland

Football · Superleague

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-03 · first seen 2m before

Al Kahrabaa vs Al Garaf

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2:1

2026-09-03 · first seen 2m before

Mornar Bar vs Bokelj

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-03 · first seen 2m before

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-09-03 · first seen 54m before

Gyor Eto vs Ferencvaros

Football · National League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-09-03 · first seen 54m before

Bodrumspor vs Erokspor

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-09-03 · first seen 24m before

Al-Fayha vs Al-Kholood

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.65 · +10.4% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-03 · first seen 3h before

Diyala vs Al Karma

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-03 · first seen 3h before

Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Shahr Babak

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-03 · first seen 3h before

Igdir Belediyespor vs Manisa

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-4

2026-09-03 · first seen 2h before

Arys vs Ekibastuz

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-09-03 · first seen 2m before

Independiente Santa Fe vs Millonarios

Football · Serie A

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-09-03 · first seen 1h before

Deportes Limache vs Nublense

Football · Serie A

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-03 · first seen 31m before

Westchester vs Chattanooga Red Wolves

Football · USL. League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-02 · first seen 1h before

CA Colegiales vs Ferrocarril Midland

Football · Primera Nacional

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-09-02 · first seen 3d 1h before

Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-02 · first seen 17m before

Reading vs Mansfield Town

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-0

2026-09-02 · first seen 1h before

Burnley vs Middlesbrough

Football · Championship

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-09-02 · first seen 1h before

Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-1

2026-09-02 · first seen 47m before

Barnsley vs Blackpool

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-09-02 · first seen 47m before

West Bromwich vs Charlton Athletic

Football · Championship

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-02 · first seen 47m before

QPR vs Cardiff City

Football · Championship

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-09-02 · first seen 47m before

Motherwell vs Dundee United

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-09-02 · first seen 47m before

Luton Town vs Stockport County

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-02 · first seen 47m before

Millwall vs Wrexham

Football · Championship

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0:3

2026-09-02 · first seen 47m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Copenhagen vs NordsjaellandFootball · Superleague2026-09-03first seen 2m beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—2-0LOST
Al Kahrabaa vs Al GarafFootball · Superleague2026-09-03first seen 2m before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2:1WON
Mornar Bar vs BokeljFootball · League 12026-09-03first seen 2m before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2-0WON
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar JerusalemFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 54m beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—3-0LOST
Gyor Eto vs FerencvarosFootball · National League2026-09-03first seen 54m before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—0-3LOST
Bodrumspor vs EroksporFootball · League 12026-09-03first seen 24m beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—0-0WON
Al-Fayha vs Al-KholoodFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.65 · +10.4% CLV2-2WON
Diyala vs Al KarmaFootball · Superleague2026-09-03first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-2WON
Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Shahr BabakFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-1LOST
Igdir Belediyespor vs ManisaFootball · League 12026-09-03first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2-4LOST
Arys vs EkibastuzFootball · League 12026-09-03first seen 2m before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—3-1WON
Independiente Santa Fe vs MillonariosFootball · Serie A2026-09-03first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—3-2WON
Deportes Limache vs NublenseFootball · Serie A2026-09-03first seen 31m beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-0LOST
Westchester vs Chattanooga Red WolvesFootball · USL. League 12026-09-02first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-1LOST
CA Colegiales vs Ferrocarril MidlandFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-02first seen 3d 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—3-0LOST
Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil CityFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 17m beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—1-0LOST
Reading vs Mansfield TownFootball · League 12026-09-02first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—5-0LOST
Burnley vs MiddlesbroughFootball · Championship2026-09-02first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—1:1WON
Burton Albion vs AFC WimbledonFootball · League 12026-09-02first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—4-1WON
Barnsley vs BlackpoolFootball · League 12026-09-02first seen 47m beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—2-1LOST
West Bromwich vs Charlton AthleticFootball · Championship2026-09-02first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-1WON
QPR vs Cardiff CityFootball · Championship2026-09-02first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—2-1WON
Motherwell vs Dundee UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—3-0WON
Luton Town vs Stockport CountyFootball · League 12026-09-02first seen 47m beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—2-0LOST
Millwall vs WrexhamFootball · Championship2026-09-02first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0:3LOST

276–300 of 1986· 1361 won / 625 lost · −84.8u · −4.3% yield · of 3913 total

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