Las Palmas vs Leganes
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 31m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 31m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1m before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1m before
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1m before
Football · Ligue 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1m before
Football · Ligue 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1m before
Football · Ligue 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1m before
Football · Ligue 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1m before
Football · Ligue 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1m before
Football · Challenge League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Challenge League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Regional League. East
X2Double Chance
· first seen 40m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · 1st Division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Regional League. West
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas vs LeganesFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 31m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Naft Maysan vs NewrozFootball · Superleague | first seen 1m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Beerschot Wilrijk vs Patro Eisden MaasmechelenFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| Waalwijk vs NAC BredaFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| Cajamarca vs CiencianoFootball · Premier League | first seen 1m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-5 | LOST |
| Pau vs SochauxFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 1m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| Laval vs Red StarFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 1m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Grenoble vs AnnecyFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 1m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1:2 | WON |
| Dunkerque vs ClermontFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 1m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| Boulogne vs DijonFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 1m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC ZwolleFootball · Premier League | first seen 1m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Aarau vs Rapperswil-JonaFootball · Challenge League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Marumo Gallants vs Polokwane CityFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| CFR Cluj vs Farul ConstantaFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Al Wehdat vs Al Faisaly AmmanFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Independiente Campo Grande vs Fernando de la MoraFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Kriens vs Stade Lausanne-OuchyFootball · Challenge League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Slavia Mozyr vs VitebskFootball · Premier League | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Favoritner vs SV LeobendorfFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 40m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Aalesund vs IK StartFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Koge vs HillerodFootball · 1st Division | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Kufstein vs Intemann LauterachFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Osters IF vs United NordicFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Warta PoznanFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Prostejov vs MAS TaborskoFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.