Terengganu vs Melaka
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
- Feed close
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 3-0
· first seen 57m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
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1XDouble Chance
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1XDouble Chance
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1XDouble Chance
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X2Double Chance
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X2Double Chance
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· first seen 4h before
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· first seen 4h before
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HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
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1XDouble Chance
· first seen 25m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terengganu vs MelakaFootball · Superleague | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Korona Kielce vs Motor LublinFootball · Superleague | first seen 42m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.93 · +8.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Qingdao West Coast vs Shandong TaishanFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan YukunFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.47 · −2.0% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shanghai ShenhuaFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.78 · −2.2% CLV | 4-5 | LOST |
| Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Jinmen TigerFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta LendavaFootball · Superleague | first seen 10m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Vllaznia Shkoder vs Skenderbeu KorceFootball · Superleague | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.42 · −8.4% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Erzurumspor BB vs GalatasarayFootball · Superleague | first seen 25m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.47 · −3.9% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Pakhtakor vs SurkhonFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.18 · −5.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Gaziantep BB vs AlanyasporFootball · Superleague | first seen 23m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Zemplin Michalovce vs KomarnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.35 · −2.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| FC Gwangju vs Pohang SteelersFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Lech Poznan vs Piast GliwiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.58 · +1.9% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Zemun vs Mladost LucaniFootball · Superleague | first seen 8m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Maribor vs KoperFootball · Superleague | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Lillestrom vs RosenborgFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Flora Tallinn vs KuressaareFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Nomme Kalju vs Parnu VaprusFootball · Superleague | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.38 · −1.4% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Sparta Prague vs TepliceFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.33 · −2.9% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Dinamo Samarqand vs Xorazm UrganchFootball · Superleague | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.70 · +7.6% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Shanghai Port vs Dalian YingboFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.45 · +7.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Erbil vs Al KahrabaaFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.55 · −12.9% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Pogon Szczecin vs Motor LublinFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.97 · +3.7% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Samsunspor vs GoztepeFootball · Superleague | first seen 25m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.