Viborg vs Lyngby
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.77 · −4.3% CLV
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 30m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3908
3907 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−209.1u
over 3907u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 721 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1478 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
804
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1984 | 68.5% | −84.2u |
| Match winner | 1924 | 60.5% | −124.9u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 727 | 67.3% | −20.5u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 188 | 59.6% | +17.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 67 | 52.2% | −14.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3908 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
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1XDouble Chance
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AwayMatch Winner
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AwayMatch Winner
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1XDouble Chance
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X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
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· first seen 32m before
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X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
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X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
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X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Superleague
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AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
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1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2m before
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X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
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AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 59m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viborg vs LyngbyFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.77 · −4.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Aalesund vs IK StartFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Novi Pazar vs Zeleznicar PancevoFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.30 · −2.1% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Istanbul Basaksehir vs GalatasarayFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.58 · −1.2% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Egnatia Rrogozhine vs Skenderbeu KorceFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Pakhtakor vs AndijanFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.73 · +15.3% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Nasaf vs Neftchi FargonaFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.87 · −5.1% CLV | 6-2 | LOST |
| Navbahor vs Lokomotiv TashkentFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Bunyodkor Tashkent vs SurkhonFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Basel vs SionFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.40 · −2.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Lugano vs ServetteFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 1.90 · −22.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia BialystokFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.70 · +9.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Duhok vs Al Quwa Al JawiyaFootball · Superleague | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Copenhagen vs NordsjaellandFootball · Superleague | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Al Kahrabaa vs Al GarafFootball · Superleague | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2:1 | WON |
| Diyala vs Al KarmaFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| FC Luzern vs VaduzFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Thun vs Lausanne SportsFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.00 · +2.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Grasshoppers Zurich vs Sankt GallenFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.70 · +8.3% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Aluminij vs CeljeFootball · Superleague | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| AGF Aarhus vs MidtjyllandFootball · Superleague | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Bohemians Prague vs JablonecFootball · Superleague | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.55 · +6.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec KraloveFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Zurich vs Young BoysFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.58 · −1.2% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Skenderbeu Korce vs Dinamo TiranaFootball · Superleague | first seen 59m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
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