Silkeborg vs Odense
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silkeborg vs OdenseFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Bravo vs Brinje GrosupljeFootball · Superleague | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.78 · −3.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Widzew LodzFootball · Superleague | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Vojvodina Novi Sad vs Radnik SurdulicaFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Macva Sabac vs IMT Novi BeogradFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.90 · −5.0% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Kristiansund vs MoldeFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.65 · +1.9% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Sheriff Tiraspol vs Dacia BuiucaniFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.25 · +6.8% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Zimbru vs PetrocubFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 1.92 · −8.6% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Horsens vs BrondbyFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.72 · +9.6% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Levadia Tallinn vs Nomme UnitedFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.16 · +4.5% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Zilina vs SkalicaFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Hradec Kralove vs Banik OstravaFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.25 · +3.2% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Jablonec vs SlovackoFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.65 · −5.7% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Hamarkameratene vs AalesundFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.05 · +1.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Sion vs VaduzFootball · Superleague | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.45 · −5.2% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Basel vs ThunFootball · Superleague | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 1.75 · −16.7% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Inter Turku vs FC LahtiFootball · Superleague | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Randers vs LyngbyFootball · Superleague | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Slavia Prague vs PardubiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Slask Wroclaw vs Cracovia KrakowFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| KuPS Kuopio vs Turun PalloseuraFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.47 · −5.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Lugano vs ZurichFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 5-0 | WON |
| Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen TigerFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai PortFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Henan Songshan Longmen vs Qingdao West CoastFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.