Carrarese vs Empoli
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0:1
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 14m before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 14m before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 9m before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 9m before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 28m before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 8m before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrarese vs EmpoliFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0:1 | WON |
| Ascoli vs BeneventoFootball · Serie B | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Sudtirol vs CatanzaroFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| CRB vs America MineiroFootball · Serie B | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Orsomarso vs Real CartagenaFootball · Serie B | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Envigado vs Union MagdalenaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.30 · −9.8% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Curico Unido vs Deportes RecoletaFootball · Serie B | first seen 14m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Vila Nova vs Ceara FortalezaFootball · Serie B | first seen 14m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.80 · +5.9% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| CRB vs CriciumaFootball · Serie B | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.15 · −2.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Deportes Temuco vs Puerto MonttFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Benevento vs SudtirolFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Pisa vs CatanzaroFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Avai vs Atletico GoianienseFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| America Mineiro vs Ponte PretaFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.09-11119/1000.09-11.11+0.09from 1.09 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Arezzo vs PalermoFootball · Serie B | first seen 9m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.05 · +1.5% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Mantova vs EmpoliFootball · Serie B | first seen 9m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3:1 | LOST |
| Union Espanola vs Rangers TalcaFootball · Serie B | first seen 28m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.95 · +1.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Real Santander vs Internacional PalmiraFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Santiago Wanderers vs MagallanesFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.10 · +1.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Ascoli vs CarrareseFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.90 · +5.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Patriotas BoyacaFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 4-1 | LOST |
| Avellino vs VicenzaFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Padova vs VeronaFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Virtus Entella vs CesenaFootball · Serie B | first seen 8m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Sampdoria vs Juve StabiaFootball · Serie B | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.85 · +4.5% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
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