Magallanes vs Puerto Montt
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
- Feed close
- 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.80 · −3.7% CLV
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
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· first seen 59m before
Football · Serie B
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· first seen 59m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magallanes vs Puerto MonttFootball · Serie B | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.80 · −3.7% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Mantova vs SampdoriaFootball · Serie B | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Avellino vs PalermoFootball · Serie B | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.00 · +2.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Catanzaro vs CarrareseFootball · Serie B | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 2.00 · +13.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Vicenza vs Juve StabiaFootball · Serie B | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Padova vs AscoliFootball · Serie B | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.15 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Pisa vs Virtus EntellaFootball · Serie B | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.70 · −6.6% CLV | 1:4 | LOST |
| Sport Recife vs Ponte PretaFootball · Serie B | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.08-12502/250.08-12.50+0.08from 1.08 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Empoli vs ArezzoFootball · Serie B | first seen 22m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 2.05 · +4.1% CLV | 0:1 | LOST |
| Deportes Recoleta vs San Marcos AricaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.40 · −5.9% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Independiente Yumbo vs Deportes QuindioFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Internacional Palmira vs Atletico CaliFootball · Serie B | first seen 2d 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV | 3:2 | WON |
| Cuiaba vs Athletic Minas GeraisFootball · Serie B | first seen 2d 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.70 · −6.6% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Puerto Montt vs Rangers TalcaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Palermo vs SampdoriaFootball · Serie B | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.75 · +10.8% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Ponte Preta vs Sao BernardoFootball · Serie B | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.30 · −3.7% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Cremonese vs PadovaFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0:2 | LOST |
| Cesena vs MantovaFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Modena vs AvellinoFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.75 · +9.4% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Virtus Entella vs VicenzaFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| San Luis Quillota vs CobreloaFootball · Serie B | first seen 59m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| Juventude RS vs Atletico GoianienseFootball · Serie B | first seen 29m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Goias vs FortalezaFootball · Serie B | first seen 59m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union EspanolaFootball · Serie B | first seen 59m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Novorizontino vs AvaiFootball · Serie B | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
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