Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Serie A
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Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
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X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
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· first seen 59m before
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AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 29m before
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· first seen 1h before
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· first seen 3h before
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· first seen 31m before
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· first seen 1h before
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1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 14m before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 14m before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportes TolimaFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Millonarios vs Deportivo CaliFootball · Serie A | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.67 · −1.8% CLV | 1:2 | LOST |
| Llaneros Villavicencio vs Deportes TolimaFootball · Serie A | first seen 2d 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.70 · −1.8% CLV | 2:3 | LOST |
| Botafogo RJ vs Palmeiras SPFootball · Serie A | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.15 · +0.9% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Huachipato vs Colo ColoFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.65 · +17.9% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Cruzeiro vs Atletico ParanaenseFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 4.30+33033/103.30+3.30-0.30from 4.30 · 0.0% CLV | 2:1 | LOST |
| O'Higgins vs Union La CaleraFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.70 · −4.5% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Fluminense RJ vs Vasco da Gama RJFootball · Serie A | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV | 2:1 | WON |
| Sao Paulo vs Atletico MineiroFootball · Serie A | first seen 59m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Boyaca Chico vs Once CaldasFootball · Serie A | first seen 29m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Bragantino vs BahiaFootball · Serie A | first seen 59m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Deportes Concepcion vs Audax ItalianoFootball · Serie A | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.90 · −5.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente MedellinFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| America de Cali vs Alianza FC ValleduparFootball · Serie A | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.37 · −0.7% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Independiente Santa Fe vs MillonariosFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Deportes Limache vs NublenseFootball · Serie A | first seen 31m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta DeportivoFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo PereiraFootball · Serie A | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Deportivo Cali vs Atletico BucaramangaFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 4.00 · +92.3% CLV | 2:1 | WON |
| Mirassol vs Palmeiras SPFootball · Serie A | first seen 14m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.02 · −3.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Gremio vs ChapecoenseFootball · Serie A | first seen 14m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros VillavicencioFootball · Serie A | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Corinthians SP vs Santos SPFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Universidad Concepcion vs Universidad ChileFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.60 · −1.2% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Flamengo RJ vs Botafogo RJFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.40 · +9.4% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
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