Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-0
· first seen 54m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 54m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 24m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 24m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 16m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 46m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 46m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar JerusalemFootball · Premier League | first seen 54m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Al Ahly Cairo vs SmouhaFootball · Premier League | first seen 24m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Mjolby vs DjurgardensFootball · Premier League | first seen 24m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.85 · +14.2% CLV | 3:0 | LOST |
| Neom vs Al- Khaleej SaihatFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Alashkert vs VanFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.09-11119/1000.09-11.11+0.09from 1.16 · +6.4% CLV | 0-4 | LOST |
| Banga Gargzdai vs PanevezysFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.77 · −6.8% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Al-Fayha vs Al-KholoodFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.65 · +10.4% CLV | 2-2 | WON |
| Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Shahr BabakFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Isloch Minsk vs BATE BorisovFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.68 · +8.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Barcelona Guayaquil vs Independiente del ValleFootball · Premier League | first seen 1m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.87 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil CityFootball · Premier League | first seen 17m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Celtic vs AberdeenFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Macara vs MantaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Falkirk vs RangersFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.57 · +4.7% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Floriana vs Gzira UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.45 · −9.4% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Motherwell vs Dundee UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Dundee vs St JohnstoneFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.55 · −3.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Kilmarnock vs Saint MirrenFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Siroki Brijeg vs SarajevoFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Sint-Truidense vs Union Saint-GilloiseFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Borac Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar SarajevoFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.37 · +5.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Hibernians vs VallettaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Ceramika Cleopatra vs FutureFootball · Premier League | first seen 16m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Dinamo Minsk vs Naftan NovopolotskFootball · Premier League | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.15 · +0.9% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Mamelodi Sundowns vs MilfordFootball · Premier League | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.20 · −4.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.