Pyunik Yerevan vs Van
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
- Feed close
- 1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.18 · +12.4% CLV
- Score
- 3-0
· first seen 47m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3929
3928 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−211.2u
over 3928u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 732 | 55.1%51%–59% | −0.9pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1483 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1499 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
825
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.5u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1991 | 68.6% | −84.2u |
| Match winner | 1938 | 60.4% | −127.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 731 | 67.2% | −21.2u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3929 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 44m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 14m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyunik Yerevan vs VanFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.18 · +12.4% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Groningen vs UtrechtFootball · Premier League | first seen 17m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| PEC Zwolle vs AjaxFootball · Premier League | first seen 17m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi vs Shakhtar DonetskFootball · Premier League | first seen 17m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Kilmarnock vs CelticFootball · Premier League | first seen 17m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV | 1-5 | WON |
| Malmo FF vs DegerforsFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Hammarby vs HackenFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Gent vs MechelenFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.93 · +3.2% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Sparta Rotterdam vs FeyenoordFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.65 · +5.1% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto SangaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Zorya vs KryvbasFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.70 · +1.2% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki FrontaleFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Sport Boys vs Alianza LimaFootball · Premier League | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Tigre vs River PlateFootball · Premier League | first seen 44m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Estrela Amadora vs Sporting LisbonFootball · Premier League | first seen 14m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.22 · −6.2% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den HaagFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK GoricaFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.97 · +8.2% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Siroki Brijeg vs Sloga DobojFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Sarajevo vs Radnik BijeljinaFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.38 · −1.4% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Sint-Truidense vs Lommel UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.60 · +12.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Vesterlo vs Union Saint-GilloiseFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.72 · +14.7% CLV | 1-5 | WON |
| PSV vs Fortuna SittardFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.17 · +2.6% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Liverpool Montevideo vs Albion MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Atletico Tucuman vs SarmientoFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.80 · −2.7% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes La PlataFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
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