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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3917

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3918

3917 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−208.9u

over 3917u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W2

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72855.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148062.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149570.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

814

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3917

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198768.5%−84.4u
Match winner193160.5%−124.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3918 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Nacional Madeira vs Estoril

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Pyunik Yerevan vs Sardarapat

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV
Score
3-7

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

GAIS vs Malmo FF

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Hatta Dubai vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.50 · +12.8% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Atletico Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 50m before

NSI Runavik vs EB/Streymur

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.25 · +6.8% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 50m before

Chippa United vs Orlando Pirates

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.30 · +1.6% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 58m before

Feyenoord vs Go Ahead Eagles

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.35 · +10.7% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 28m before

Twente vs PEC Zwolle

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.23 · −1.6% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 28m before

Brommapojkarna vs Orgryte

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Irtysh Pavlodar vs Tobol Kostanay

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

SK Beveren vs Anderlecht

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

ADO Den Haag vs Groningen

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

LNZ Lebedin vs Chernomorets Odessa

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Alianza San Salvador vs Cacahuatique

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.65 · −10.8% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 53m before

Platense vs Boca Juniors

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 8m before

Aguila San Miguel vs Atletico Balboa

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-4

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Guayaquil City vs Libertad Loja

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Cavalry vs Forge

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.45 · +2.1% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Los Chancas vs Melgar

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Estudiantes La Plata vs Gimnasia La Plata

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 51m before

Rio Ave vs Porto

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 7.40 · +448.1% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 36m before

Osijek vs Lokomotiva Zagreb

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

Manta vs Leones del Norte

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Nacional Madeira vs EstorilFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-0LOST
Pyunik Yerevan vs SardarapatFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV3-7LOST
GAIS vs Malmo FFFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-1LOST
Hatta Dubai vs Al Jazira Abu DhabiFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.50 · +12.8% CLV0-2WON
Atletico Progreso vs Deportivo MaldonadoFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 50m beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-2WON
NSI Runavik vs EB/StreymurFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 50m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.25 · +6.8% CLV4-2WON
Chippa United vs Orlando PiratesFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 58m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.30 · +1.6% CLV0-3WON
Feyenoord vs Go Ahead EaglesFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 28m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.35 · +10.7% CLV2-2LOST
Twente vs PEC ZwolleFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 28m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.23 · −1.6% CLV3-1WON
Brommapojkarna vs OrgryteFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV3-1WON
Irtysh Pavlodar vs Tobol KostanayFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—0-2LOST
SK Beveren vs AnderlechtFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—1-0LOST
ADO Den Haag vs GroningenFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—1-4WON
LNZ Lebedin vs Chernomorets OdessaFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV2-0WON
Alianza San Salvador vs CacahuatiqueFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 53m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.65 · −10.8% CLV2-1WON
Platense vs Boca JuniorsFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 8m beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-1WON
Aguila San Miguel vs Atletico BalboaFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV2-4LOST
Guayaquil City vs Libertad LojaFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—2-2WON
Cavalry vs ForgeFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.45 · +2.1% CLV2-1WON
Los Chancas vs MelgarFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—0-3LOST
Estudiantes La Plata vs Gimnasia La PlataFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 51m beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—4-0LOST
Rio Ave vs PortoFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 36m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 7.40 · +448.1% CLV0-2WON
Osijek vs Lokomotiva ZagrebFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV1-0WON
Fortuna Sittard vs CambuurFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV3-1WON
Manta vs Leones del NorteFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeX2Double Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—0-2WON

501–525 of 729· 490 won / 239 lost · −20.6u · −2.8% yield · of 3918 total

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