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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7141

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7146

7141 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−517.9u

over 7141u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148055.3%53%–58%53%–58%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258368.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1283.3%55%–95%55%–95%−7.3pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+8pp

11

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7141

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396358.5%−347.1u
Double chance318367.8%−170.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Cercle Brugge vs Gent

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-09-06 · first seen 22m before

Lamphun Warrior vs Uthai Thani

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-09-06 · first seen 22m before

Groningen vs Twente

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 2.02 · +8.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 4h before

Vissel Kobe vs V-Varen Nagasaki

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV
Score
3:1

2026-09-06 · first seen 4h before

Naftan Novopolotsk vs Minsk

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-09-06 · first seen 4h before

Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F-Marinos

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.65 · −2.9% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 4h before

Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.77 · +7.3% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-06 · first seen 4h before

Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.18 · −3.1% CLV
Score
1:3

2026-09-06 · first seen 3h before

Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.85 · −2.6% CLV
Score
3:2

2026-09-06 · first seen 3h before

Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Red Diamonds

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.82 · +2.2% CLV
Score
0:1

2026-09-06 · first seen 3h before

Isidro Metapan vs Inca

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Cusco vs Deportivo Moquegua

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
11.50+105021/210.50+10.50-0.10from 11.00 · −4.3% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 4d 1h before

Fuerte San Francisco vs FAS

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 29m before

Deportivo Maldonado vs Montevideo Wanderers

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 29m before

Sport Huancayo vs Sport Boys

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
3.55+25551/202.55+2.55-0.39from 4.50 · +26.8% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

Atletico Ottawa vs Pacific

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.68 · +1.8% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Boca Juniors

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.25 · +13.6% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

Rijeka vs Osijek

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 59m before

Willem II vs Excelsior

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.30 · +7.0% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-09-05 · first seen 59m before

Radnik Bijeljina vs Sloga Doboj

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-05 · first seen 44m before

Standard Liege vs Royal Antwerp

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 44m before

Marsaxlokk vs Mosta

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 29m before

Danubio vs Penarol Montevideo

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.72 · +1.2% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Al-Ittihad Jeddah vs Al-Nassr Riyadh

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.52 · +7.0% CLV
Score
0:3

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Cercle Brugge vs GentFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 22m beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—0-3WON
Lamphun Warrior vs Uthai ThaniFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 22m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-4LOST
Groningen vs TwenteFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 2.02 · +8.0% CLV2-2LOST
Vissel Kobe vs V-Varen NagasakiFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV3:1WON
Naftan Novopolotsk vs MinskFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV0-3WON
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F-MarinosFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.65 · −2.9% CLV0-2LOST
Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo VerdyFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.77 · +7.3% CLV0-0LOST
Nagoya Grampus vs Machida ZelviaFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.18 · −3.1% CLV1:3WON
Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.85 · −2.6% CLV3:2LOST
Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Red DiamondsFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.82 · +2.2% CLV0:1LOST
Isidro Metapan vs IncaFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV0-1LOST
Cusco vs Deportivo MoqueguaFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 4d 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived11.50+105021/210.50+10.50-0.10from 11.00 · −4.3% CLV2-0LOST
Fuerte San Francisco vs FASFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 29m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV0-1WON
Deportivo Maldonado vs Montevideo WanderersFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 29m before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-0WON
Sport Huancayo vs Sport BoysFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived3.55+25551/202.55+2.55-0.39from 4.50 · +26.8% CLV2-1LOST
Atletico Ottawa vs PacificFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.68 · +1.8% CLV0-0LOST
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Boca JuniorsFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-2WON
Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional MadeiraFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.25 · +13.6% CLV2-0WON
Rijeka vs OsijekFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 59m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV4-1WON
Willem II vs ExcelsiorFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 59m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.30 · +7.0% CLV0-3WON
Radnik Bijeljina vs Sloga DobojFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 44m before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-2LOST
Standard Liege vs Royal AntwerpFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 44m before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-0WON
Marsaxlokk vs MostaFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 29m before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—1-1WON
Danubio vs Penarol MontevideoFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.72 · +1.2% CLV0-4WON
Al-Ittihad Jeddah vs Al-Nassr RiyadhFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.52 · +7.0% CLV0:3WON

451–475 of 1138· 748 won / 390 lost · −56.7u · −5.0% yield · of 7146 total

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