Gil Vicente vs Academico Viseu
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
- Feed close
- 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 1.90 · −20.8% CLV
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
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1XDouble Chance
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X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
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HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 54m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 24m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 9m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente vs Academico ViseuFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 1.90 · −20.8% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Nacional Montevideo vs Juventud Las PiedrasFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun SpartansFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico GrauFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Zrinjski Mostar vs Siroki BrijegFootball · Premier League | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.25 · +2.5% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Al Shabab Al Ahmadi vs KazmaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Rosario Central vs Newell's Old BoysFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| SK Beveren vs LeuvenFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa PiaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Anderlecht vs GenkFootball · Premier League | first seen 54m before | X2Double Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Sliema Wanderers vs BirkirkaraFootball · Premier League | first seen 24m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas TelsiaiFootball · Premier League | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.42 · +9.2% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi vs Bukovyna ChernivtsiFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0:0 | WON |
| ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna SittardFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Santa Clara vs Rio AveFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Brommapojkarna vs ElfsborgFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| KA Akureyri vs BreidablikFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Kortrijk vs Zulte WaregemFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.10 · −8.7% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Heerenveen vs AZ AlkmaarFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Telstar vs CambuurFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.60 · −5.9% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Veres Rivne vs ZoryaFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Orgryte vs HammarbyFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Ayutthaya United vs FC RatchaburiFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Sukhothai vs Buriram UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.33 · +3.9% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
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