St Johnstone vs Celtic
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
- Feed close
- 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.45 · −3.3% CLV
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 57m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
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1XDouble Chance
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X2Double Chance
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HomeMatch Winner
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X2Double Chance
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X2Double Chance
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
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· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 20h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Johnstone vs CelticFootball · Premier League | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.45 · −3.3% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Rangers vs Saint MirrenFootball · Premier League | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Al-Fateh vs Al-DiriyahFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 3.40 · +86.8% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Al Mokawloon vs Al Ahly CairoFootball · Premier League | first seen 13m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.42 · −2.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Twente vs TelstarFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.25 · +1.6% CLV | 1:0 | WON |
| Al-Kholood vs Al-Shabab RiyadhFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.10 · 0.0% CLV | 2:2 | LOST |
| Larne vs BangorFootball · Premier League | first seen 42m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.06-16673/500.06-16.67+0.06from 1.18 · +11.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Smouha vs Ceramika CleopatraFootball · Premier League | first seen 14m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| NEC Nijmegen vs ExcelsiorFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.57 · −18.2% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Orense vs Guayaquil CityFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 4-3 | LOST |
| Emelec vs MantaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Estoril vs AroucaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Halifax Wanderers vs CavalryFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.75 · −1.7% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Al-Hilal SFC vs NeomFootball · Premier League | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.20 · +0.8% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar JerusalemFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.53 · −4.4% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Kalmar FF vs DjurgardensFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.65 · +1.2% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel HaifaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.97 · +1.0% CLV | 1:1 | WON |
| Foolad Khuzestan vs Fajr SepasiFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Dynamo Brest vs BATE BorisovFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.70 · +1.2% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Al- Khaleej Saihat vs Al-RiyadhFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.20 · +0.9% CLV | 0:2 | LOST |
| Nassaji Mazandaran vs Kheybar KhorramabadFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Delfin vs Universidad Catolica QuitoFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.00 · −13.0% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Atletico Balboa vs Municipal LimenoFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Lanus vs Defensa y JusticiaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes La PlataFootball · Premier League | first seen 20h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
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