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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3912

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3913

3912 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−208.9u

over 3912u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72455.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148062.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149470.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

809

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3912

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198668.5%−84.8u
Match winner192760.5%−124.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.40 · +1.4% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Al Ahly Cairo vs ENPPI

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Keflavik vs IB Vestmannaeyjar

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.97 · +2.1% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.60 · +16.8% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Gzira United vs Valletta

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.67 · +1.2% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Cambuur vs Feyenoord

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.30 · +8.3% CLV
Score
2-5

2026-08-23 · first seen 1h before

Hammarby vs GAIS

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 1h before

Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 1h before

Danubio vs Racing Montevideo

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 51m before

HB Torshavn vs 07 Vestur

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 51m before

Dynamos vs Chicken Inn

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.98 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 49m before

Baranovichi vs Dynamo Brest

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.80 · +9.1% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Red Diamonds

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.82 · −1.6% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Go Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 3m before

Halifax Wanderers vs Vancouver

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

Ajman vs Hatta Dubai

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Slavia Mozyr vs Gomel

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 57m before

Cacahuatique vs Municipal Limeno

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 3m before

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.20 · +0.8% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Maritimo vs Academico Viseu

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

Deportivo Maldonado vs Penarol Montevideo

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Independiente vs Independiente Rivadavia

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Stjarnan vs Thor AkureyriFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.40 · +1.4% CLV4-2WON
Al Ahly Cairo vs ENPPIFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV3-2WON
Keflavik vs IB VestmannaeyjarFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.97 · +2.1% CLV1-0WON
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas TelsiaiFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.60 · +16.8% CLV2-0WON
Gzira United vs VallettaFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.67 · +1.2% CLV0-3WON
Cambuur vs FeyenoordFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.30 · +8.3% CLV2-5WON
Hammarby vs GAISFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV2-0WON
Brommapojkarna vs DegerforsFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-0WON
Danubio vs Racing MontevideoFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 51m beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-0WON
HB Torshavn vs 07 VesturFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 51m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV0-0LOST
Dynamos vs Chicken InnFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 49m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.98 · 0.0% CLV0-1LOST
Baranovichi vs Dynamo BrestFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.80 · +9.1% CLV1-1LOST
Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Red DiamondsFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.82 · −1.6% CLV3-1WON
Go Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den HaagFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV3-1WON
Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto CordobaFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 3m beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-0WON
Halifax Wanderers vs VancouverFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-0LOST
Fortuna Sittard vs AZ AlkmaarFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV0-2WON
Ajman vs Hatta DubaiFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 50m before1XDouble Chance1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—4-3WON
Slavia Mozyr vs GomelFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 57m beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—0-0WON
Cacahuatique vs Municipal LimenoFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-3LOST
Heerenveen vs PEC ZwolleFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 3m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV0-2LOST
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs AbhaFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.20 · +0.8% CLV4-0WON
Maritimo vs Academico ViseuFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—2-2WON
Deportivo Maldonado vs Penarol MontevideoFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-0WON
Independiente vs Independiente RivadaviaFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-0WON

351–375 of 729· 490 won / 239 lost · −20.6u · −2.8% yield · of 3913 total

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