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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=6218

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

6222

6218 graded · 4 void

Win rate

63.3%

95% CI 62%–65%

Profit

−421.6u

over 6218u staked

Yield

−6.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 45%3743.2%29%–59%29%–59%−1.7pp
50–60%avg claim 56%120155.5%53%–58%53%–58%−0.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%229561.0%59%–63%59%–63%−5.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%232568.5%67%–70%67%–70%−6.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%35072.3%67%–77%67%–77%−8.0pp
90–100%avg claim 91%9———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

3115

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 6218

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner325058.9%−278.6u
Double chance297268.2%−143.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League109465.5%−58.8u
League 151964.7%−34.5u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page30762.5%+42.9u
League 222558.7%−33.7u
Division 117159.6%−24.9u
Division 213764.2%−8.8u
Serie B13561.5%−11.2u
Championship11862.7%−11.1u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page10164.4%−5.4u
Serie A9552.6%−20.5u
National league8754.0%−18.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Unirea Slobozia vs Chindia Targoviste

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Concordia Chiajna vs Metalul Buzau

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

CSA Steaua Bucuresti vs Gloria Bistrita

Football · League 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.70+17017/101.70+1.70-0.59from 2.75 · +1.9% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

CSM Slatina vs Viitorul Selimbar

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Stefanestii de Jos vs Metaloglobus Bucharest

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Walsall vs Port Vale

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2:1

2026-09-19 · first seen 4h before

Karvina vs Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.35 · +6.3% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-18 · first seen 3h before

Prostejov vs Dukla Prague

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-18 · first seen 3h before

Opava vs Arsenal Ceska Lipa

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-09-18 · first seen 3h before

Viimsi vs Tartu Welco

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-09-17 · first seen 3h before

Resita vs Bacau

Football · League 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
3.55+25551/202.55+2.55-0.39from 3.60 · +1.4% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-15 · first seen 1h before

Tartu Welco vs Nomme Kalju 2

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.17 · −10.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-14 · first seen 2h before

ViOn Zlate Moravce vs Lokomotíva Zvolen

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-09-14 · first seen 1h before

Universidad Panama vs La Familia

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Metalul Buzau vs Unirea Slobozia

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 3h before

Nomme United 2 vs Viimsi

Football · League 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.52 · −7.9% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 3h before

Persela Lamongan vs Persis Solo

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 11h before

Dynamo Malzenice vs Tatran Presov

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 2h before

Chindia Targoviste vs Viitorul Selimbar

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.55 · +8.4% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

FC San Martin vs Champions Academy

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-12 · first seen 2h before

Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz vs Opava

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-12 · first seen 3h before

Banik Lehota vs Zilina 2

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Samorin vs Slovan Galanta

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.45 · +7.4% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Gillingham vs Tranmere Rovers

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Unirea Slobozia vs Chindia TargovisteFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-1WON
Concordia Chiajna vs Metalul BuzauFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-1LOST
CSA Steaua Bucuresti vs Gloria BistritaFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.70+17017/101.70+1.70-0.59from 2.75 · +1.9% CLV2-1LOST
Bacau vs Cetatea SuceavaFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV2-2LOST
CSM Slatina vs Viitorul SelimbarFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Stefanestii de Jos vs Metaloglobus BucharestFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-1LOST
Walsall vs Port ValeFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV2:1WON
Karvina vs Hanacka Slavia KromerizFootball · League 22026-09-18first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.35 · +6.3% CLV3-2WON
Prostejov vs Dukla PragueFootball · League 22026-09-18first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-2WON
Opava vs Arsenal Ceska LipaFootball · League 22026-09-18first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—2-1WON
Viimsi vs Tartu WelcoFootball · League 22026-09-17first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-2LOST
Resita vs BacauFootball · League 22026-09-15first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived3.55+25551/202.55+2.55-0.39from 3.60 · +1.4% CLV0-1WON
Tartu Welco vs Nomme Kalju 2Football · League 22026-09-14first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.17 · −10.0% CLV3-0WON
ViOn Zlate Moravce vs Lokomotíva ZvolenFootball · League 22026-09-14first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—4-0WON
Universidad Panama vs La FamiliaFootball · League 22026-09-13first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—3-2LOST
Metalul Buzau vs Unirea SloboziaFootball · League 22026-09-13first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-0LOST
Nomme United 2 vs ViimsiFootball · League 22026-09-13first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.52 · −7.9% CLV1-0LOST
Persela Lamongan vs Persis SoloFootball · League 22026-09-13first seen 11h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-0LOST
Dynamo Malzenice vs Tatran PresovFootball · League 22026-09-13first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-1LOST
Chindia Targoviste vs Viitorul SelimbarFootball · League 22026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.55 · +8.4% CLV4-0WON
FC San Martin vs Champions AcademyFootball · League 22026-09-12first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—2-2WON
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz vs OpavaFootball · League 22026-09-12first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—2-2WON
Banik Lehota vs Zilina 2Football · League 22026-09-12first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1-0WON
Samorin vs Slovan GalantaFootball · League 22026-09-12first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.45 · +7.4% CLV3-2WON
Gillingham vs Tranmere RoversFootball · League 22026-09-12first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—2-0WON

26–50 of 225· 132 won / 93 lost · −33.7u · −15.0% yield · of 6222 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.