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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=6218

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

6222

6218 graded · 4 void

Win rate

63.3%

95% CI 62%–65%

Profit

−421.6u

over 6218u staked

Yield

−6.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 45%3743.2%29%–59%29%–59%−1.7pp
50–60%avg claim 56%120155.5%53%–58%53%–58%−0.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%229561.0%59%–63%59%–63%−5.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%232568.5%67%–70%67%–70%−6.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%35072.3%67%–77%67%–77%−8.0pp
90–100%avg claim 91%9———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

3115

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 6218

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner325058.9%−278.6u
Double chance297268.2%−143.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League109465.5%−58.8u
League 151964.7%−34.5u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page30762.5%+42.9u
League 222558.7%−33.7u
Division 117159.6%−24.9u
Division 213764.2%−8.8u
Serie B13561.5%−11.2u
Championship11862.7%−11.1u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page10164.4%−5.4u
Serie A9552.6%−20.5u
National league8754.0%−18.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea Cluj

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 2.10 · +31.3% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-09-07 · first seen 4h before

Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia

Football · League 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.75 · +14.6% CLV
Score
2:3

2026-09-07 · first seen 4h before

Manisa vs Bursaspor

Football · League 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.63 · +1.9% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-07 · first seen 4h before

Ruch Chorzow vs Unia Skierniewice

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-09-07 · first seen 4h before

Mardin BB vs Bodrumspor

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-07 · first seen 4h before

Voluntari vs Arges Pitesti

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-07 · first seen 1h before

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad

Football · League 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 17m before

Loznica vs Teleoptik

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.70 · +21.4% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 2m before

Otelul Galati vs Rapid Bucuresti

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Muglaspor vs Vanspor

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.73 · −3.9% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Batman Petrolspor vs Fatih Karagumruk

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.95 · −4.9% CLV
Score
4-3

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Arka Gdynia vs LKS Lodz

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 32m before

Shenzhen Juniors vs Meizhou Hakka

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV
Score
5-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 5h before

Suzhou Dongwu vs Nanjing City

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.95 · −1.5% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-06 · first seen 5h before

ASO Chlef vs CR Belouizdad

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.15 · +1.4% CLV
Score
3-3

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.53 · +2.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 14m before

CR Temouchent vs CS Constantine

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Jezero vs Arsenal Tivat

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-2

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSB

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Pendikspor vs Umraniyespor

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

Keciorengucu Ankara vs Saryer

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia

Football · League 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.43 · −6.5% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 38m before

Brage vs Sundsvall

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 3h before

Helsingborg vs Sandvikens

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-09-05 · first seen 3h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea ClujFootball · League 12026-09-07first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 2.10 · +31.3% CLV4-0WON
Dunav Ruse vs Slavia SofiaFootball · League 12026-09-07first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.75 · +14.6% CLV2:3WON
Manisa vs BursasporFootball · League 12026-09-07first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.63 · +1.9% CLV1-2WON
Ruch Chorzow vs Unia SkierniewiceFootball · League 12026-09-07first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—3-1WON
Mardin BB vs BodrumsporFootball · League 12026-09-07first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV1-0WON
Voluntari vs Arges PitestiFootball · League 12026-09-07first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-0LOST
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets RazgradFootball · League 12026-09-06first seen 17m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV1-2WON
Loznica vs TeleoptikFootball · League 12026-09-06first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.70 · +21.4% CLV1-1LOST
Otelul Galati vs Rapid BucurestiFootball · League 12026-09-06first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-1WON
Muglaspor vs VansporFootball · League 12026-09-06first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.73 · −3.9% CLV2-2LOST
Batman Petrolspor vs Fatih KaragumrukFootball · League 12026-09-06first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.95 · −4.9% CLV4-3WON
Antalyaspor vs SivassporFootball · League 12026-09-06first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-2LOST
Arka Gdynia vs LKS LodzFootball · League 12026-09-06first seen 32m beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-1WON
Shenzhen Juniors vs Meizhou HakkaFootball · League 12026-09-06first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV5-1WON
Suzhou Dongwu vs Nanjing CityFootball · League 12026-09-06first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.95 · −1.5% CLV2-0WON
ASO Chlef vs CR BelouizdadFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.15 · +1.4% CLV3-3WON
Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948 SofiaFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 14m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.53 · +2.0% CLV1-0WON
CR Temouchent vs CS ConstantineFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1-1WON
Jezero vs Arsenal TivatFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—5-2WON
Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSBFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Pendikspor vs UmraniyesporFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—1-0WON
Keciorengucu Ankara vs SaryerFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—3-0WON
Spartak Varna vs CSKA SofiaFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 38m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.43 · −6.5% CLV1-1LOST
Brage vs SundsvallFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—0-1LOST
Helsingborg vs SandvikensFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-2WON

201–225 of 519· 336 won / 183 lost · −34.5u · −6.6% yield · of 6222 total

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