Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 8m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 25m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev PlovdivFootball · League 1 | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Sutjeska Niksic vs OtrantFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-4 | LOST |
| Voitsberg vs Schwarz Weiss BregenzFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 6-5 | WON |
| Kapfenberg vs Wacker InnsbruckFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Istanbulspor vs BodrumsporFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Fatih Karagumruk vs UmraniyesporFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.62 · +5.9% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Sturm 2 Graz vs Admira Wacker ModlingFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| PK-35 Helsinki vs Klubi 04Football · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.60 · −4.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Sandvikens vs NorrkopingFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| Burton Albion vs StevenageFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Hamilton Academical vs AirdrieoniansFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.13 · +6.5% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Bradford City vs Peterborough UnitedFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Plymouth Argyle vs Stockport CountyFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Huddersfield vs AFC WimbledonFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.53 · −1.3% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Cambridge United vs Wigan AthleticFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Marupes vs Super Nova 2Football · League 1 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Barnsley vs BromleyFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.05 · −2.4% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Alloa Athletic vs MontroseFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| East Kilbride vs Cove RangersFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.37 · −3.5% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Blackpool vs Wycombe WanderersFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia WarszawaFootball · League 1 | first seen 25m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.73 · +3.6% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Notts County vs LeicesterFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Guangxi Hengchen vs Meizhou HakkaFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Reading vs Luton TownFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-4 | WON |
| Wuxi Wugou vs Guangdong GZ-PowerFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.