Schwarz Weiss Bregenz vs Kapfenberg
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-2
· first seen 2h before
Vitibet Algorithm
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices
Meaningful samplen=7141Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Streaks and worst run
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
Claimed vs what happened
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
Calibration over time
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Performance charts
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Cumulative P/L by pick (units)
all 7141
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
P/L by month (units)
P/L by league (units)
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
By market
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
By league
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Recent settled picks
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
Won
Jaiyq vs Taraz Karatau
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 42m before
Vrsac vs Dubocica
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
- Feed close
- 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.67 · −5.6% CLV
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 1h before
Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs Sepsi Sfantu Gheorghe
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 2h before
Loznica vs Borac Cacak
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-3
· first seen 3h before
Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
- Feed close
- 4.10+31031/103.10+3.10-0.32from 3.75 · −8.5% CLV
- Score
- 0-2
· first seen 4h before
Metalac vs Smederevo 1924
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 4h before
Javor Ivanjica vs Jedinstvo Ub
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
- Feed close
- 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 3-0
· first seen 3h before
Teleoptik vs Napredak Krusevac
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 3h before
Botosani vs Hunedoara
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.15 · −8.5% CLV
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 1h before
Igdir Belediyespor vs Fatih Karagumruk
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 2h before
Petrovac vs Jezero
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-0
· first seen 4h before
Mladost Donja Gorica vs Mornar Bar
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-3
· first seen 4h before
Mansfield Town vs Doncaster Rovers
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 55m before
Peterhead vs East Fife
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 55m before
JaPS vs Haka
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
- Feed close
- 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.63 · +7.2% CLV
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 1h before
Voluntari vs Petrolul Ploiesti
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 1h before
Sundsvall vs Helsingborg
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
- Feed close
- 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.00 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 54m before
JDFS Alberts vs Riga 2
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 2h before
Vrsac vs Naftagas
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 2h before
Muglaspor vs Bandirmaspor
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 24m before
Keciorengucu Ankara vs Pendikspor
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 4-1
· first seen 2h before
Kayserispor vs Sivasspor
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 2h before
Falkenbergs vs Norrby
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 1h before
Riga Mariners vs Tukums 2000 2
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.09 · −3.5% CLV
- Score
- 4-2
· first seen 27m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schwarz Weiss Bregenz vs KapfenbergFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Jaiyq vs Taraz KaratauFootball · League 1 | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Vrsac vs DubocicaFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.67 · −5.6% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs Sepsi Sfantu GheorgheFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Loznica vs Borac CacakFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Dunav Ruse vs Arda KardzhaliFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 4.10+31031/103.10+3.10-0.32from 3.75 · −8.5% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Metalac vs Smederevo 1924Football · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Javor Ivanjica vs Jedinstvo UbFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Teleoptik vs Napredak KrusevacFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Botosani vs HunedoaraFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.15 · −8.5% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Igdir Belediyespor vs Fatih KaragumrukFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Petrovac vs JezeroFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Mladost Donja Gorica vs Mornar BarFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Mansfield Town vs Doncaster RoversFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Peterhead vs East FifeFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| JaPS vs HakaFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.63 · +7.2% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Voluntari vs Petrolul PloiestiFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Sundsvall vs HelsingborgFootball · League 1 | first seen 54m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.00 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| JDFS Alberts vs Riga 2Football · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Vrsac vs NaftagasFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Muglaspor vs BandirmasporFootball · League 1 | first seen 24m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Keciorengucu Ankara vs PendiksporFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Kayserispor vs SivassporFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Falkenbergs vs NorrbyFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Riga Mariners vs Tukums 2000 2Football · League 1 | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.09 · −3.5% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.