Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 12m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 25m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 25m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 25m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 54m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 54m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Tunisien vs CS SfaxienFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| UTA Arad vs HunedoaraFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 3.50+2505/22.50+2.50-0.40from 3.35 · −4.3% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Levski Sofia vs Spartak VarnaFootball · League 1 | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.25 · −1.6% CLV | 6-0 | WON |
| Jezero vs Sutjeska NiksicFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Stockport County vs BlackpoolFootball · League 1 | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.55 · +2.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Klubi 04 vs MPFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Wigan Athletic vs Leyton OrientFootball · League 1 | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Peterborough United vs Mansfield TownFootball · League 1 | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| AFC Wimbledon vs ReadingFootball · League 1 | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Bromley vs Cambridge UnitedFootball · League 1 | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Luton Town vs Notts CountyFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.52 · +4.8% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Doncaster Rovers vs BarnsleyFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Ningbo Professional vs Yanbian LongdingFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Admira Wacker Modling vs First ViennaFootball · League 1 | first seen 25m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Wacker Innsbruck vs St PoltenFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Fatih Karagumruk vs BursasporFootball · League 1 | first seen 25m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon SiedlceFootball · League 1 | first seen 25m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Mornar Bar vs Buducnost PodgoricaFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Petrolul Ploiesti vs Rapid BucurestiFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Haka vs SJK AkatemiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.25 · −2.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Bor 1919 vs VozdovacFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| JIPPO vs SJK AkatemiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 54m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| United Nordic vs Varbergs BoISFootball · League 1 | first seen 54m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Norrby vs OrebroFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.20 · +2.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Petrolul Ploiesti vs Otelul GalatiFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.75 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
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