Guangxi Hengchen vs Meizhou Hakka
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
- Feed close
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 15h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 46m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 15m before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 15m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 15m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 15m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 15m before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 0m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangxi Hengchen vs Meizhou HakkaFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Reading vs Luton TownFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-4 | WON |
| Wuxi Wugou vs Guangdong GZ-PowerFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Metalist Kharkiv vs OleksandriaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Yanbian Longding vs Dalian K'un CityFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.20 · +7.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Ruch Chorzow vs Lechia GdanskFootball · League 1 | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Arges Pitesti vs Farul ConstantaFootball · League 1 | first seen 17m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| St Polten vs Blau Weiss LinzFootball · League 1 | first seen 15h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More VarnaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.68 · −5.1% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Vozdovac vs Graficar BeogradFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Brage vs OrebroFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 2.00 · +11.1% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Hertha Wels vs Rapid 2 ViennaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk vs Probiy HorodenkaFootball · League 1 | first seen 46m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Shaanxi Union vs Changchun YataiFootball · League 1 | first seen 8h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.45 · −3.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Helsingborg vs VarnamoFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.20 · −20.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Pendikspor vs Batman PetrolsporFootball · League 1 | first seen 15m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Sepsi Sfantu Gheorghe vs FCSBFootball · League 1 | first seen 15m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.88 · +1.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak VarnaFootball · League 1 | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Unia Skierniewice vs Arka GdyniaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Vanspor vs KayserisporFootball · League 1 | first seen 15m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Bodrumspor vs BursasporFootball · League 1 | first seen 15m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.70 · −1.2% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Universitatea Craiova vs Arges PitestiFootball · League 1 | first seen 15m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.62 · +5.9% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 0m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.48 · +8.0% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Jezero vs Mladost Donja GoricaFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Bokelj vs Sutjeska NiksicFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
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