Strommen vs Ranheim
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
- Feed close
- 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.18 · +7.9% CLV
- Score
- 1-4
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strommen vs RanheimFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.18 · +7.9% CLV | 1-4 | LOST |
| De Graafschap vs Jong AZ AlkmaarFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.67 · −14.4% CLV | 2-5 | LOST |
| IR Reykjavik vs NjardvikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.73 · −5.5% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| Sogndal vs Sandnes UlfFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Ranheim vs StromsgodsetFootball · Division 1 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.55 · −4.3% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Asane vs KongsvingerFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.45 · +2.1% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Skopje vs Struga Trim-LumFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Afturelding vs HK KopavogurFootball · Division 1 | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.55 · +8.4% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Grindavik vs GrottaFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Volsungur vs IF VestriFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.25 · −4.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Jong Utrecht vs VitesseFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.90 · +3.8% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Hodd vs StrommenFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.08 · −4.6% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Kongsvinger vs HaugesundFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Raufoss vs AsaneFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Egersunds vs StabaekFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-4 | WON |
| FC Volendam vs OssFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.33 · −7.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Lyn vs OddFootball · Division 1 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 5-1 | LOST |
| NAC Breda vs VVV-VenloFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.42 · +7.6% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Waalwijk vs DordrechtFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.72 · −1.7% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Heracles Almelo vs Den BoschFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.47 · +1.4% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| HK Kopavogur vs Leiknir ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.45 · +5.8% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Grotta vs NjardvikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.90+19019/101.90+1.90-0.53from 3.35 · +15.5% CLV | 1-4 | LOST |
| Fylkir Reykjavik vs AftureldingFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.55 · +10.9% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Grindavik vs Throttur ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.55 · −3.1% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| IF Vestri vs IR ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
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