Anorthosis Famagusta vs APOEL Nicosia
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.75 · −5.4% CLV
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 18m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 18m before
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
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HomeMatch Winner
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HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
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HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
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HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
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HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 42m before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 17h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 29m before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 46m before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 46m before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1m before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1m before
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1m before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anorthosis Famagusta vs APOEL NicosiaFootball · Division 1 | first seen 18m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.75 · −5.4% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon LimassolFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 6:0 | WON |
| Kerry vs Bray WanderersFootball · Division 1 | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Wexford vs Finn HarpsFootball · Division 1 | first seen 42m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.38 · 0.0% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Heracles Almelo vs Jong AZ AlkmaarFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.35 · +8.0% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Jong Ajax vs WaalwijkFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| NAC Breda vs Jong UtrechtFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| VVV-Venlo vs OssFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Emmen vs De GraafschapFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.85 · +12.1% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| AEL Limassol vs Nea SalamisFootball · Division 1 | first seen 22m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Cork City vs Cobh RamblersFootball · Division 1 | first seen 42m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.35 · −6.9% CLV | 2:3 | LOST |
| FC Eindhoven vs DordrechtFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV | 2:1 | WON |
| Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Dubai CityFootball · Division 1 | first seen 17h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.10 · −20.8% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Jong Utrecht vs FC EindhovenFootball · Division 1 | first seen 0m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Aris Limassol vs Omonia NicosiaFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| Longford Town vs KerryFootball · Division 1 | first seen 29m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.30 · −6.1% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Stabaek vs MossFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Omonia Aradippou vs Krasava YpsonasFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.03 · −2.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| Bray Wanderers vs Cork CityFootball · Division 1 | first seen 46m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1:0 | LOST |
| Finn Harps vs Athlone TownFootball · Division 1 | first seen 46m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.72 · +11.0% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Helmond Sport vs VVV-VenloFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.45 · +19.5% CLV | 4-2 | LOST |
| Vitesse vs OssFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.55 · +2.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Waalwijk vs NAC BredaFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| Almere City vs Jong AjaxFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.40 · −6.7% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
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