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LMGuerra

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-17

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

40

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with LMGuerra, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=52

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

55

52 graded · 3 void

Win rate

50.0%

95% CI 37%–63%

Profit

−4.1u

over 52u staked

Yield

−7.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

5

Longest losing streak

4

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−8.6u

from a +4.5u peak · bottomed 2026-10-24

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 52

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±13.2u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap3651.4%−1.8u
Over/Under1345.5%−1.8u
Asian over under6—−0.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Primera Division. Season 26/27↗Primera Division. Season 26/27 league page1550.0%−1.1u
Spa. Segunda1145.5%−1.8u
League phase9—+1.1u
Segunda Division5—−1.4u
Corners↗Corners league page3—−1.1u
Spa. Primera3—−1.1u
Champions L2—−0.0u
Europa League2—−0.1u
Division 11—+0.8u
Division 21——
Division A. Group stage↗Division A. Group stage league page1—−1.0u
Ligue 1. Season 26/27↗Ligue 1. Season 26/27 league page1—+0.9u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 10h before kickoff — median over 53 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad

Europa League

Lost

Full Event Over 3O/U

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-10-15* · tipped 7h before

Feyenoord vs Como

League phase

Won

Full Event Over 3O/U

Tipster odds
1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77
Feed close
—
Score
3:2

2026-10-14* · tipped 8h before

FK Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund

Champions L

Lost

Full Event Over 3.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-14* · tipped 56m before

Real Betis vs Osasuna

Spa. Primera

Lost

Full Event Under 3O/U

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-11* · tipped 5h before

Barcelona vs Getafe

Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

Full Event Under 4O/U

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-10* · tipped 30h before

Albacete vs Eibar

Spa. Segunda

Won

Full Event Over 2.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-03* · tipped 1h before

Turkiye (Corners) vs Italy (Corners)

Corners

Lost

Full Event Over 9O/U

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-28* · tipped 28m before

Celta Vigo (Corners) vs Racing Santander (Corners)

Corners

Lost

Full Event Over 9.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-19* · tipped 3h before

Malaga (Corners) vs Villarreal (Corners)

Corners

Won

Full Event Over 9.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-17* · tipped 1h before

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid

Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

Full Event Under 2.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-10 · tipped 22d before

Levante vs Athletic Bilbao

Primera Division. Season 26/27

Void

Full Event Over 2.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-16* · tipped 32h before

Malaga vs Levante

Primera Division. Season 26/27

Lost

Full Event Over 2.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.99-10199/1000.99-1.01+0.99
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06* · tipped 27h before

Union Atletico El Vigia vs Atletico Barinas

Division 2

Void

Full Event Over 2O/U

Tipster odds
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-02 · tipped 3d before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real SociedadEuropa League2026-10-15*tipped 7h beforeFull Event Over 3O/U1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91—1:1LOST
Feyenoord vs ComoLeague phase2026-10-14*tipped 8h beforeFull Event Over 3O/U1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77—3:2WON
FK Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia DortmundChampions L2026-10-14*tipped 56m beforeFull Event Over 3.5O/U1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——LOST
Real Betis vs OsasunaSpa. Primera2026-10-11*tipped 5h beforeFull Event Under 3O/U1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85——LOST
Barcelona vs GetafePrimera Division. Season 26/272026-10-10*tipped 30h beforeFull Event Under 4O/U1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72——WON
Albacete vs EibarSpa. Segunda2026-10-03*tipped 1h beforeFull Event Over 2.5O/U1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85——WON
Turkiye (Corners) vs Italy (Corners)Corners2026-09-28*tipped 28m beforeFull Event Over 9O/U1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Celta Vigo (Corners) vs Racing Santander (Corners)Corners2026-09-19*tipped 3h beforeFull Event Over 9.5O/U1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88——LOST
Malaga (Corners) vs Villarreal (Corners)Corners2026-09-17*tipped 1h beforeFull Event Over 9.5O/U1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87——WON
Alaves vs Atletico MadridPrimera Division. Season 26/272026-10-10tipped 22d beforeFull Event Under 2.5O/U1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——WON
Levante vs Athletic BilbaoPrimera Division. Season 26/272026-09-16*tipped 32h beforeFull Event Over 2.5O/U1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——VOID
Malaga vs LevantePrimera Division. Season 26/272026-09-06*tipped 27h beforeFull Event Over 2.5O/U1.99-10199/1000.99-1.01+0.99——LOST
Union Atletico El Vigia vs Atletico BarinasDivision 22026-09-02tipped 3d beforeFull Event Over 2O/U1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78——VOID

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

1–13 of 13· 5 won / 6 lost · −1.8u · −16.7% yield · of 55 total

Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.