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LMGuerra

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-17

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

40

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with LMGuerra, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=52

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

55

52 graded · 3 void

Win rate

50.0%

95% CI 37%–63%

Profit

−4.1u

over 52u staked

Yield

−7.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

5

Longest losing streak

4

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−8.6u

from a +4.5u peak · bottomed 2026-10-24

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 52

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±13.2u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap3651.4%−1.8u
Over/Under1345.5%−1.8u
Asian over under6—−0.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Primera Division. Season 26/27↗Primera Division. Season 26/27 league page1550.0%−1.1u
Spa. Segunda1145.5%−1.8u
League phase9—+1.1u
Segunda Division5—−1.4u
Corners↗Corners league page3—−1.1u
Spa. Primera3—−1.1u
Champions L2—−0.0u
Europa League2—−0.1u
Division 11—+0.8u
Division 21——
Division A. Group stage↗Division A. Group stage league page1—−1.0u
Ligue 1. Season 26/27↗Ligue 1. Season 26/27 league page1—+0.9u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 10h before kickoff — median over 53 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Almeria vs Real Oviedo

Spa. Segunda

Lost

Full Event Home -0.50AH

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-24* · tipped 19m before

Fenerbahce vs Slavia Prague

League phase

Lost

Full Event Home -0.75AH

Tipster odds
1.81-12381/1000.81-1.23+0.81
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-20* · tipped 22h before

Porto vs PSV

League phase

Lost

Full Event Home -1.00AH

Tipster odds
1.94-10647/500.94-1.06+0.94
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-20* · tipped 24h before

Liverpool vs Villarreal

League phase

Void

Full Event Home -1.00AH

Tipster odds
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-20* · tipped 24h before

Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid

League phase

Lost

Full Event Away -0.25AH

Tipster odds
1.86-11643/500.86-1.16+0.86
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-20* · tipped 24h before

Paris Saint-Germain vs Barcelona

Champions L

Won

Full Event Home +0.00AH

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-20* · tipped 2h before

Real Sociedad II vs Almeria

Spa. Segunda

Won

Full Event Away -0.50AH

Tipster odds
1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-17* · tipped 1h before

Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante

Primera Division. Season 26/27

Lost

Full Event Home -0.25AH

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-16* · tipped 33h before

Villarreal vs Elche

Primera Division. Season 26/27

Lost

Full Event Home -1.00AH

Tipster odds
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-17* · tipped 26h before

FC Andorra vs Castellon

Segunda Division

Lost

Full Event Away -0.25AH

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-11* · tipped 1h before

Arsenal vs Lille

League phase

Won

Full Event Home -1.50AH

Tipster odds
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-13* · tipped 24h before

Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United

League phase

Won

Full Event Home -0.50AH

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-13* · tipped 24h before

Villarreal vs Napoli

League phase

Won

Full Event Home -0.25AH

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-13* · tipped 24h before

Ceuta vs Sabadell

Segunda Division

Lost

Full Event Home +0.25AH

Tipster odds
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-10* · tipped 20h before

Eldense B vs Cordoba

Spa. Segunda

Won

Full Event Home +0.00AH

Tipster odds
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-10* · tipped 22h before

Real Sociedad II vs Granada

Spa. Segunda

Lost

Full Event Home +0.00AH

Tipster odds
1.71-14171/1000.71-1.41+0.71
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04* · tipped 45m before

England vs Spain

Division A. Group stage

Lost

Full Event Home +0.50AH

Tipster odds
1.76-13219/250.76-1.32+0.76
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26* · tipped 7h before

Sevilla vs Barcelona

Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

Full Event Away -1.50AH

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-19* · tipped 1h before

Cadiz vs Girona

Segunda Division

Won

Full Event Away -0.25AH

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-19* · tipped 1h before

Sabadell vs Real Oviedo

Spa. Segunda

Lost

Full Event Away +0.25AH

Tipster odds
2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20* · tipped 2h before

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla

Primera Division. Season 26/27

Lost

Full Event Home +0.00AH

Tipster odds
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-16* · tipped 30h before

Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo

Spa. Segunda

Won

Full Event Away +0.25AH

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13* · tipped 2h before

Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol

Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

Full Event Home -0.25AH

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-15* · tipped 22h before

Racing Santander vs Alaves

Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

Full Event Home +0.00AH

Tipster odds
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-12* · tipped 16h before

Celta Vigo vs Malaga

Spa. Primera

Lost

Full Event Home -0.75AH

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13* · tipped 39h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Almeria vs Real OviedoSpa. Segunda2026-10-24*tipped 19m beforeFull Event Home -0.50AH1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79——LOST
Fenerbahce vs Slavia PragueLeague phase2026-10-20*tipped 22h beforeFull Event Home -0.75AH1.81-12381/1000.81-1.23+0.81——LOST
Porto vs PSVLeague phase2026-10-20*tipped 24h beforeFull Event Home -1.00AH1.94-10647/500.94-1.06+0.94——LOST
Liverpool vs VillarrealLeague phase2026-10-20*tipped 24h beforeFull Event Home -1.00AH1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87——VOID
Stuttgart vs Atletico MadridLeague phase2026-10-20*tipped 24h beforeFull Event Away -0.25AH1.86-11643/500.86-1.16+0.86——LOST
Paris Saint-Germain vs BarcelonaChampions L2026-10-20*tipped 2h beforeFull Event Home +0.00AH1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96——WON
Real Sociedad II vs AlmeriaSpa. Segunda2026-10-17*tipped 1h beforeFull Event Away -0.50AH1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97——WON
Deportivo La Coruna vs LevantePrimera Division. Season 26/272026-10-16*tipped 33h beforeFull Event Home -0.25AH1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Villarreal vs ElchePrimera Division. Season 26/272026-10-17*tipped 26h beforeFull Event Home -1.00AH1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70——LOST
FC Andorra vs CastellonSegunda Division2026-10-11*tipped 1h beforeFull Event Away -0.25AH2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——LOST
Arsenal vs LilleLeague phase2026-10-13*tipped 24h beforeFull Event Home -1.50AH1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68——WON
Atletico Madrid vs Manchester UnitedLeague phase2026-10-13*tipped 24h beforeFull Event Home -0.50AH1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——WON
Villarreal vs NapoliLeague phase2026-10-13*tipped 24h beforeFull Event Home -0.25AH1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89——WON
Ceuta vs SabadellSegunda Division2026-10-10*tipped 20h beforeFull Event Home +0.25AH1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87——LOST
Eldense B vs CordobaSpa. Segunda2026-10-10*tipped 22h beforeFull Event Home +0.00AH1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78——WON
Real Sociedad II vs GranadaSpa. Segunda2026-10-04*tipped 45m beforeFull Event Home +0.00AH1.71-14171/1000.71-1.41+0.71——LOST
England vs SpainDivision A. Group stage2026-09-26*tipped 7h beforeFull Event Home +0.50AH1.76-13219/250.76-1.32+0.76——LOST
Sevilla vs BarcelonaPrimera Division. Season 26/272026-09-19*tipped 1h beforeFull Event Away -1.50AH1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75——WON
Cadiz vs GironaSegunda Division2026-09-19*tipped 1h beforeFull Event Away -0.25AH1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79——WON
Sabadell vs Real OviedoSpa. Segunda2026-09-20*tipped 2h beforeFull Event Away +0.25AH2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98——LOST
Deportivo La Coruna vs SevillaPrimera Division. Season 26/272026-09-16*tipped 30h beforeFull Event Home +0.00AH1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78——LOST
Real Valladolid vs Real OviedoSpa. Segunda2026-09-13*tipped 2h beforeFull Event Away +0.25AH1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75——WON
Rayo Vallecano vs EspanyolPrimera Division. Season 26/272026-09-15*tipped 22h beforeFull Event Home -0.25AH1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——WON
Racing Santander vs AlavesPrimera Division. Season 26/272026-09-12*tipped 16h beforeFull Event Home +0.00AH1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87——WON
Celta Vigo vs MalagaSpa. Primera2026-09-13*tipped 39h beforeFull Event Home -0.75AH1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——LOST

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

1–25 of 36· 18 won / 17 lost · −1.8u · −5.1% yield · of 55 total

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