Bristol City vs Portsmouth
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.10 · −2.3% CLV
- Score
- 2:1
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3956
3955 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−212.0u
over 3955u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 740 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1492 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1507 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 202 | 70.8%64%–77% | −9.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
852
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.8u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2003 | 68.5% | −85.2u |
| Match winner | 1953 | 60.4% | −126.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 333 | 61.0% | −41.1u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 192 | 59.9% | +19.1u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3956 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
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Football · Championship
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Football · Championship
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Football · National League. South
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · League 2
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Football · League 1
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Football · Bundesliga. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Bundesliga. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Bundesliga. Season 26/27
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· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
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Football · Bundesliga. Season 26/27
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· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · League 1
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· first seen 59m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · Championship
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 59m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 44m before
Football · Ligue 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 44m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City vs PortsmouthFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.10 · −2.3% CLV | 2:1 | WON |
| Coventry City vs Hull CityFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0:6 | WON |
| Southampton vs MillwallFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 5:1 | LOST |
| Watford vs West HamFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead UnitedFootball · National League. South | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.00 · +2.6% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Shrewsbury Town vs Salford CityFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| York City vs Exeter CityFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.60 · +1.9% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Leyton Orient vs BarnsleyFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.10 · +5.0% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Elversberg vs Bayer LeverkusenFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Mainz vs PaderbornFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0:0 | WON |
| Union Berlin vs Eintracht FrankfurtFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Pogon Siedlce vs Stal MielecFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Köln vs HoffenheimFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Quick Boys vs KloetingeFootball · Division 2 | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.37 · +7.9% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs CFR ClujFootball · League 1 | first seen 59m before | X2Double Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Elfsborg vs DegerforsFootball · Premier League | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| San Giovanni vs Tre PenneFootball · Championship | first seen 59m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.22 · −2.4% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Dinamo Minsk vs BaranovichiFootball · Premier League | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Hacken vs VasterasFootball · Premier League | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV | 1:3 | LOST |
| Deportivo Santani vs Atletico TembetaryFootball · Division 2 | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.53 · +9.3% CLV | 3-4 | LOST |
| IJsselmeervogels vs RKAV VolendamFootball · Division 2 | first seen 59m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Motor Lublin vs Piast GliwiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 44m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.30 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Amiens vs VersaillesFootball · Ligue 3 | first seen 44m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Nomme United vs Harju LaagriFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.55 · −7.3% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Blackpool vs Peterborough UnitedFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.70 · −17.1% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
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