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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3953

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3954

3953 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−212.9u

over 3953u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L2

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%74055.3%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%149162.2%60%–65%60%–65%−4.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%150670.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20270.8%64%–77%64%–77%−9.6pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

850

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3953

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.8u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200168.5%−86.1u
Match winner195360.4%−126.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73267.2%−21.0u
Superleague33160.7%−41.9u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page19259.9%+19.1u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9961.6%−8.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3954 picks with a captured kickoff.

Pardubice vs Artis Brno

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.43 · −21.9% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 2h before

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polissya Zhytomyr

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 2h before

Sabadell vs Almeria

Football · Segunda Division

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-29 · first seen 2h before

Arouca vs Maritimo

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.10 · +1.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 2h before

SC Uhersky Brod vs Vsetin

Football · League 3

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 2h before

Hodonin vs Vitkovice

Football · League 3

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 2h before

Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 2h before

Krasnodar vs Rostov

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.62 · −3.6% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-29 · first seen 2h before

De Graafschap vs Almere City

Football · Division 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.50 · +2.0% CLV
Score
1-4

2026-08-29 · first seen 2h before

Alverca vs Santa Clara

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 2h before

Slough Town vs Folkestone Invicta

Football · National League. South

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.85 · +6.9% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Afturelding vs IF Vestri

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.25 · +11.6% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Notts County vs Burton Albion

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.85 · −3.4% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Gillingham vs Northampton Town

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.85 · +7.5% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Stockport County vs Wycombe Wanderers

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Bangor vs Carrick Rangers

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-4

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Walsall vs Accrington Stanley

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 1.80 · −10.9% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Sheffield Wednesday vs Bromley

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.73 · +1.8% CLV
Score
7-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Grindavik vs HK Kopavogur

Football · Division 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.12 · −9.8% CLV
Score
4-3

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Norwich City vs Burnley

Football · Championship

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:5

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Bournemouth vs Everton

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Newport County vs Tranmere Rovers

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 3.10 · +12.7% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Grimsby Town vs Fleetwood Town

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
4:0

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Bristol City vs Portsmouth

Football · Championship

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.10 · −2.3% CLV
Score
2:1

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Coventry City vs Hull City

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
0:6

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Pardubice vs Artis BrnoFootball · Superleague2026-08-29first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.43 · −21.9% CLV1-2LOST
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polissya ZhytomyrFootball · Premier League2026-08-29first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-2LOST
Sabadell vs AlmeriaFootball · Segunda Division2026-08-29first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-0LOST
Arouca vs MaritimoFootball · Premier League2026-08-29first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.10 · +1.0% CLV2-1WON
SC Uhersky Brod vs VsetinFootball · League 32026-08-29first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—2-1WON
Hodonin vs VitkoviceFootball · League 32026-08-29first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—0-2LOST
Excelsior vs Sparta RotterdamFootball · Premier League2026-08-29first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-1WON
Krasnodar vs RostovFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-29first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.62 · −3.6% CLV1-0WON
De Graafschap vs Almere CityFootball · Division 12026-08-29first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.50 · +2.0% CLV1-4WON
Alverca vs Santa ClaraFootball · Premier League2026-08-29first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-1WON
Slough Town vs Folkestone InvictaFootball · National League. South2026-08-29first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.85 · +6.9% CLV0-2WON
Afturelding vs IF VestriFootball · Division 12026-08-29first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.25 · +11.6% CLV2-0WON
Notts County vs Burton AlbionFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.85 · −3.4% CLV2-1WON
Gillingham vs Northampton TownFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.85 · +7.5% CLV1-1WON
Stockport County vs Wycombe WanderersFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—5-1WON
Bangor vs Carrick RangersFootball · Premier League2026-08-29first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-4LOST
Walsall vs Accrington StanleyFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 1.80 · −10.9% CLV3-2WON
Sheffield Wednesday vs BromleyFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.73 · +1.8% CLV7-2WON
Grindavik vs HK KopavogurFootball · Division 12026-08-29first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.12 · −9.8% CLV4-3LOST
Norwich City vs BurnleyFootball · Championship2026-08-29first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1:5WON
Bournemouth vs EvertonFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-29first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-1WON
Newport County vs Tranmere RoversFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 3.10 · +12.7% CLV2-2WON
Grimsby Town vs Fleetwood TownFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—4:0WON
Bristol City vs PortsmouthFootball · Championship2026-08-29first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.10 · −2.3% CLV2:1WON
Coventry City vs Hull CityFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-29first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—0:6WON

1226–1250 of 3954

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.