Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 1.87 · −13.0% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 30m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3908
3907 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−209.1u
over 3907u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 721 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1478 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
804
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1984 | 68.5% | −84.2u |
| Match winner | 1924 | 60.5% | −124.9u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 727 | 67.3% | −20.5u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 188 | 59.6% | +17.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 67 | 52.2% | −14.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3908 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 0m before
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X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
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1XDouble Chance
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HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
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HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
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1XDouble Chance
· first seen 17m before
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1XDouble Chance
· first seen 17m before
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1XDouble Chance
· first seen 54m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 22m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 14m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 14m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla PlockFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 1.87 · −13.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| OFK Beograd vs IMT Novi BeogradFootball · Superleague | first seen 0m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 3.35+23547/202.35+2.35-0.43from 3.10 · −7.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Karbalaa vs Al Quwa Al JawiyaFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Rizespor vs AlanyasporFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Goztepe vs Gaziantep BBFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV | 2-4 | LOST |
| Vojvodina Novi Sad vs ZemunFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.18 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Celje vs KoperFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Slask WroclawFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Dinamo Tirana vs ElbasaniFootball · Superleague | first seen 54m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Kristiansund vs TromsoFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.65 · −15.4% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Kocaelispor vs SamsunsporFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Ruzomberok vs Spartak TrnavaFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 1.70 · −20.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Trabzonspor vs GenclerbirligiFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.55 · +9.2% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Kosice vs Dukla Banska BystricaFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.57 · +6.1% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Basel vs LuganoFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.50 · +13.6% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Sion vs ThunFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.72 · +4.2% CLV | 3:1 | WON |
| FC Tirana vs VoraFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Jablonec vs Slovan LiberecFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Selangor vs MelakaFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.09 · −1.8% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Paide Linnameeskond vs Levadia TallinnFootball · Superleague | first seen 22m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.55 · +14.8% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Mlada Boleslav vs Banik OstravaFootball · Superleague | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.25 · −2.2% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Gimcheon Sangmu vs FC GwangjuFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki NisFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.80 · −5.1% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Olimpija Ljubljana vs Brinje GrosupljeFootball · Superleague | first seen 14m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Motor Lublin vs Legia WarsawFootball · Superleague | first seen 14m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
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