Arendal vs Pors Grenland
Football · Division 2. Group 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 47m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4119
4118 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−215.7u
over 4118u staked
Yield
−5.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 8 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 777 | 55.9%52%–59% | −0.1pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1549 | 62.6%60%–65% | −3.6pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1563 | 70.1%68%–72% | −4.8pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 214 | 71.0%65%–77% | −9.4pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−3pp
1015
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±87.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 96 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2070 | 68.7% | −83.8u |
| Match winner | 2049 | 60.4% | −131.9u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 754 | 67.2% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 346 | 61.8% | −38.3u |
| League 1 | 338 | 67.2% | −10.4u |
| MLBMLB league page | 212 | 59.4% | +19.2u |
| League 2 | 153 | 60.8% | −17.3u |
| Division 1 | 111 | 64.0% | −7.4u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 103 | 62.1% | −8.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 69 | 50.7% | −16.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4119 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Division 2. Group 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · 2 division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · League 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · League 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 41m before
Football · Queensland. National Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · Capital Territory. National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 11m before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 23m before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arendal vs Pors GrenlandFootball · Division 2. Group 1 | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Skive vs NykobingFootball · 2 division | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Blansko vs HodoninFootball · League 3 | first seen 56m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| FA Povltavska vs PisekFootball · League 3 | first seen 41m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Gold Coast Knights vs Peninsula PowerFootball · Queensland. National Premier League | first seen 26m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Concordia Chiajna vs Bihor OradeaFootball · League 2 | first seen 26m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Monaro Panthers vs Belconnen UnitedFootball · Capital Territory. National Premier League | first seen 11m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.11 · 0.0% CLV | 7-0 | WON |
| Afturelding vs HK KopavogurFootball · Division 1 | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.55 · +8.4% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Grindavik vs GrottaFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Volsungur vs IF VestriFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.25 · −4.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| All Boys vs Nueva ChicagoFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Novi Pazar vs Vojvodina Novi SadFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Jong Utrecht vs VitesseFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.90 · +3.8% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Atletico TucumanFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Brondby vs SonderjyskeFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.40 · +1.4% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Dziugas Telsiai vs Suduva MarijampoleFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.05 · −2.4% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Universitatea Cluj vs UTA AradFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Cienciano vs Deportivo GarcilasoFootball · Premier League | first seen 23m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Mirassol vs Flamengo RJFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.87 · +3.9% CLV | 1-5 | WON |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee BrewersBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 2-6 | LOST |
| Los Angeles Angels vs Kansas City RoyalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| San Francisco Giants vs Colorado RockiesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 7-13 | LOST |
| Athletics vs Texas RangersBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 5-2 | WON |
| San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo MadrynFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Central Norte vs Gimnasia TiroFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.75 · −1.8% CLV | 0-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.