Olympiacos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen
Football · Qualifying
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 7h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4043
4042 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−215.8u
over 4042u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 765 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1518 | 62.5%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1538 | 70.2%68%–72% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
939
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.8u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2036 | 68.7% | −83.7u |
| Match winner | 2007 | 60.3% | −132.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 741 | 67.2% | −21.7u |
| Superleague | 343 | 61.5% | −39.8u |
| League 1 | 326 | 67.2% | −10.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 208 | 59.6% | +19.5u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4043 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Qualifying
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7h before
Football · Qualifying
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7h before
Football · Division Nationale
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7h before
Football · Division Nationale
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Qualifying
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos Piraeus vs NEC NijmegenFootball · Qualifying | first seen 7h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 0-0 | LOST |
| GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs FK Kauno ZalgirisFootball · Qualifying | first seen 7h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 5-0 | WON |
| FC UNA Strassen vs Victoria RosportFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 7h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Strassen vs Victoria RosportFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno ZalgirisFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 5-0 | WON |
| Levski Sofia vs Kairat AlmatyFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| PFC Levski Sofia vs FC KairatFootball · Qualifying | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.