Elche vs Real Sociedad
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-3
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3907
3906 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.1u
over 3906u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 721 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1478 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1493 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
803
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1983 | 68.6% | −83.2u |
| Match winner | 1924 | 60.5% | −124.9u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 727 | 67.3% | −20.5u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 188 | 59.6% | +17.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 77 | 63.6% | −5.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 67 | 52.2% | −14.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3907 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C. Group C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Ligue 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Serie C. Group C
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 10m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 10m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 0m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 0m before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche vs Real SociedadFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Estoril vs AroucaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota TwinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 5-4 | WON |
| Halifax Wanderers vs CavalryFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.75 · −1.7% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Bromley vs AFC WimbledonFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Pro Vercelli vs CarateseFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Renate vs NovaraFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Trento vs LeccoFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Alcione vs TrevisoFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Picerno vs Inter Milan U23Football · Serie C. Group C | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Nantes vs NancyFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1:0 | WON |
| Udinese vs LazioFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Palermo vs SampdoriaFootball · Serie B | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.75 · +10.8% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla PlockFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 1.87 · −13.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Sabadell vs CordobaFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 3:2 | WON |
| Catania vs CosenzaFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago CubsBaseball · MLB | first seen 10m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 2:1 | WON |
| Kansas City Royals vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB | first seen 10m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 4-5 | WON |
| Al-Hilal SFC vs NeomFootball · Premier League | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.20 · +0.8% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| OFK Beograd vs IMT Novi BeogradFootball · Superleague | first seen 0m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 3.35+23547/202.35+2.35-0.43from 3.10 · −7.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Jong Utrecht vs FC EindhovenFootball · Division 1 | first seen 0m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Karbalaa vs Al Quwa Al JawiyaFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles AngelsBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 5-2 | WON |
| Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland GuardiansBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 6-4 | LOST |
| Fehervar vs DiosgyoriFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.40 · +15.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.