Harrogate Town vs Solihull Moors
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV
- Score
- 5-2
· first seen 30m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4032
4031 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−216.6u
over 4031u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 764 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1514 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1532 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
928
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2030 | 68.6% | −84.9u |
| Match winner | 2002 | 60.3% | −131.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 343 | 61.5% | −39.8u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4032 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · National League. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Virsliga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Regional League. North-East
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Bundesliga 3
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Bundesliga 3
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 2. Group 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Bundesliga 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · K League 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Bundesliga 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Basketball · NBL 1. Central. Final
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrogate Town vs Solihull MoorsFootball · National league | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| Ural vs UfaFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Forest Green Rovers vs Halifax TownFootball · National league | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Farnham Town vs TottonFootball · National League. South | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.92 · −0.5% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Stranraer vs Annan AthleticFootball · League 2 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 2.05 · +13.9% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Linfield vs Ballymena UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.67 · +11.3% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Ross County vs MontroseFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.25 · −10.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Saint Mirren vs St JohnstoneFootball · Premier League | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.30 · −6.1% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Fylde vs WealdstoneFootball · National league | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.95 · +7.1% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums 2000Football · Virsliga | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.75 · +12.9% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Zhetysu vs OrdabasyFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Radomiak Radom vs Gornik ZabrzeFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.45 · −3.9% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Lokomotiv Leipzig vs Hertha 2 BerlinFootball · Regional League. North-East | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.38 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| MSV Duisburg vs MeppenFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Ingolstadt 04 vs Wurzburger KickersFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.60 · −4.8% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Honefoss vs Ullensaker/KisaFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.27 · +3.3% CLV | 9-1 | WON |
| Valerenga vs Bodo/GlimtFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Heidenheim vs OsnabruckFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.62 · −1.8% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Bucheon 1995 vs FC GwangjuFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Paju Frontier vs Suwon CityFootball · K League 2 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.67 · −1.8% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Magdeburg vs Eintracht BraunschweigFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.73 · −1.1% CLV | 1-6 | LOST |
| South Adelaide Panthers vs Forestville EaglesBasketball · NBL 1. Central. Final | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 58-77 | LOST |
| Skanstes vs RezekneFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.35 · +10.7% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.45 · +7.4% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito HollyHockFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.55 · −6.1% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.