Politehnica UTM vs Milsami
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
- Feed close
- 3.30+23023/102.30+2.30-0.43from 2.60 · −21.2% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4030
4029 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−215.9u
over 4029u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 764 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1513 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1531 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
926
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2029 | 68.6% | −85.2u |
| Match winner | 2001 | 60.3% | −130.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 342 | 61.4% | −40.2u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4030 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
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Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · League 2
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Football · League 1
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Football · League 2
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Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Championship
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Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Division 2. South
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · League 2
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Football · National League. South
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Football · Superleague
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Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · National League. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politehnica UTM vs MilsamiFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 3.30+23023/102.30+2.30-0.43from 2.60 · −21.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Kaspiy Aktau vs Ulytau ZhezkazganFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.15 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| FC Smiltene-BJSS vs ValmieraFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.14 · −2.6% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| Slovan Galanta vs PetrzalkaFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| SJK Akatemia vs PK-35 HelsinkiFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.85 · +5.7% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Utsiktens vs Hassleholms IFFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.58 · −12.2% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Bytca vs Inter BratislavaFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.55 · −6.1% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron TolyattiFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| NEC Nijmegen vs TelstarFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.45 · +1.4% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Glentoran vs Limavady UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.23 · −1.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Central Espanol vs Atletico ProgresoFootball · Premier League | first seen 30m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.45 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Dunfermline vs Ayr UnitedFootball · Championship | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.02 · +6.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Morecambe vs Spennymoor TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.62 · −11.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Skovde AIK vs Lunds BKFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 30m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.60 · −8.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Spartans Edinburgh vs Edinburgh CityFootball · League 2 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Braintree Town vs Tonbridge AngelsFootball · National League. South | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 1.90 · −24.0% CLV | 0-4 | LOST |
| Viking vs Sarpsborg 08Football · Superleague | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Boreham Wood vs TamworthFootball · National league | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.37 · −6.8% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Njardvik vs IF VestriFootball · Division 1 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.47 · +6.5% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Dungannon Swifts vs ColeraineFootball · Premier League | first seen 30m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.55 · +8.4% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Carlisle United vs WorthingFootball · National league | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.53 · +5.5% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Hamilton Academical vs Alloa AthleticFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Altrincham vs Southend UnitedFootball · National league | first seen 30m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.63 · −7.9% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Folkestone Invicta vs Walton & HershamFootball · National League. South | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.80 · −2.7% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Harrogate Town vs Solihull MoorsFootball · National league | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
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