Deportivo Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
- Feed close
- 3.85+28557/202.85+2.85-0.35from 2.65 · −31.2% CLV
- Score
- 0-4
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4028
4027 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−215.2u
over 4027u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 764 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1513 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1529 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
924
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2028 | 68.6% | −85.5u |
| Match winner | 2000 | 60.3% | −129.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4028 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Primera division
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Football · Primera Division. Group stage
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Football · Premier League
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Basketball · CEBL
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Basketball · WNBA
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Ligue 2
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Ligue 2
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Ligue 2
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Ligue 2
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Ligue 2
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Ligue 2
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Bundesliga 2
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Merlo vs Sportivo ItalianoFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 3.85+28557/202.85+2.85-0.35from 2.65 · −31.2% CLV | 0-4 | LOST |
| Botafogo SP vs America MineiroFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.77 · −0.6% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Cobreloa vs IquiqueFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.70 · −2.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Fortaleza Zipaquira vs Cucuta DeportivoFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.60 · −9.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| The Strongest vs Independiente PetroleroFootball · Primera division | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.16 · −4.9% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Monagas vs CaraboboFootball · Primera Division. Group stage | first seen 44m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.88 · +13.9% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Estrela Amadora vs Sporting LisbonFootball · Premier League | first seen 14m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.22 · −6.2% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Vancouver Bandits vs Winnipeg Sea BearsBasketball · CEBL | first seen 14m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 96-107 | LOST |
| Chicago Sky (w) vs Indiana Fever (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 14m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 86-90 | WON |
| AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den HaagFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK GoricaFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.97 · +8.2% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Sarajevo vs Radnik BijeljinaFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.38 · −1.4% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Clermont vs ReimsFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 5h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Rodez vs LavalFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.02 · −2.9% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Nantes vs Red StarFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.87 · +8.1% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Sint-Truidense vs Lommel UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.60 · +12.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Dunkerque vs GrenobleFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.95 · −2.5% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Sochaux vs Saint EtienneFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 5h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.02 · +6.3% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Vesterlo vs Union Saint-GilloiseFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.72 · +14.7% CLV | 1-5 | WON |
| Montpellier vs DijonFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Servette vs Grasshoppers ZurichFootball · Superleague | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Spartak Trnava vs Dukla Banska BystricaFootball · Superleague | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.28 · −3.8% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Wolfsburg vs KaiserslauternFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.58 · +1.9% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Dinamo Bucuresti vs VoluntariFootball · League 1 | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.52 · +1.3% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Celje vs Olimpija LjubljanaFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.05 · −12.8% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
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