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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=4026

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

4027

4026 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−214.2u

over 4026u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%76355.4%52%–59%52%–59%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%151362.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%152970.3%68%–73%68%–73%−4.7pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20771.5%65%–77%65%–77%−8.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

923

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 4026

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance202868.6%−85.5u
Match winner199960.4%−128.7u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73967.3%−21.1u
Superleague34161.3%−40.4u
League 132567.1%−11.1u
MLB↗MLB league page20759.4%+18.8u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210465.4%−5.2u
Serie B10162.4%−7.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7963.3%−5.8u
Championship7665.8%−4.4u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4027 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Zulte Waregem vs Genk

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.15 · +1.4% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

Zenit SPb vs Rodina Moscow

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.14 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

FC Siauliai vs Dziugas Telsiai

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.05 · −6.8% CLV
Score
3-4

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

Motherwell vs Falkirk

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.77 · −1.7% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

Charleroi vs Leuven

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.75 · +1.7% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

Hearts vs Dundee United

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.65 · −4.1% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

Baranovichi vs BATE Borisov

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.95 · +3.5% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 12m before

Paksi vs Budapest Honved

Football · National League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.80 · −10.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

KPV Kokkola vs VJS Vantaa

Football · League 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.35 · −1.5% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

River Plate Montevideo vs Sportivo Huracan

Football · Segunda Division

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

Pyunik Yerevan vs Van

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.18 · +12.4% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

Slavia Prague vs Pardubice

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

Benjamin Aceval vs 3 de Noviembre

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.55 · −11.4% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 17m before

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi vs Shakhtar Donetsk

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 17m before

Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV
Score
1-5

2026-08-09 · first seen 17m before

Malmo FF vs Degerfors

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

KuPS Kuopio vs Turun Palloseura

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.47 · −5.2% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Vejle vs Hillerod

Football · 1st Division

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV
Score
5-4

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Pitea (w) vs Hacken (w)

Football · Women. Major League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.27 · −4.5% CLV
Score
1-4

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte

Football · Regional League. West

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.27 · +1.6% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Hammarby vs Hacken

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Hoffenheim 2 vs Hansa Rostock

Football · Bundesliga 3

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-09 · first seen 3h before

Nurnberg vs Dynamo Dresden

Football · Bundesliga 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.20 · −10.2% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 3h before

Energie Cottbus vs Hannover 96

Football · Bundesliga 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.10 · −2.3% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 3h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Zulte Waregem vs GenkFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 27m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.15 · +1.4% CLV2-1LOST
Zenit SPb vs Rodina MoscowFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-09first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.14 · 0.0% CLV1-2LOST
FC Siauliai vs Dziugas TelsiaiFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 27m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.05 · −6.8% CLV3-4WON
Motherwell vs FalkirkFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.77 · −1.7% CLV0-0LOST
Charleroi vs LeuvenFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.75 · +1.7% CLV3-1WON
Hearts vs Dundee UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.65 · −4.1% CLV4-0WON
Baranovichi vs BATE BorisovFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 12m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.95 · +3.5% CLV2-2LOST
Paksi vs Budapest HonvedFootball · National League2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.80 · −10.0% CLV2-2LOST
KPV Kokkola vs VJS VantaaFootball · League 22026-08-09first seen 47m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.35 · −1.5% CLV1-2WON
River Plate Montevideo vs Sportivo HuracanFootball · Segunda Division2026-08-09first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV2-0WON
Pyunik Yerevan vs VanFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.18 · +12.4% CLV3-0WON
Slavia Prague vs PardubiceFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Benjamin Aceval vs 3 de NoviembreFootball · Division 22026-08-09first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.55 · −11.4% CLV2-1WON
PEC Zwolle vs AjaxFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 17m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV0-2WON
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi vs Shakhtar DonetskFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 17m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV0-2WON
Kilmarnock vs CelticFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 17m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV1-5WON
Malmo FF vs DegerforsFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV1-2LOST
KuPS Kuopio vs Turun PalloseuraFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.47 · −5.2% CLV1-1LOST
Vejle vs HillerodFootball · 1st Division2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV5-4WON
Pitea (w) vs Hacken (w)Football · Women. Major League2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.27 · −4.5% CLV1-4WON
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Sportfreunde LotteFootball · Regional League. West2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.27 · +1.6% CLV0-0LOST
Hammarby vs HackenFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV3-0WON
Hoffenheim 2 vs Hansa RostockFootball · Bundesliga 32026-08-09first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV2-3WON
Nurnberg vs Dynamo DresdenFootball · Bundesliga 22026-08-09first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.20 · −10.2% CLV3-0WON
Energie Cottbus vs Hannover 96Football · Bundesliga 22026-08-09first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.10 · −2.3% CLV3-1LOST

1726–1750 of 1999· 1206 won / 792 lost · −128.7u · −6.4% yield · of 4027 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.